Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KGSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KGS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) provides contract natural gas compression infrastructure and related field services across the United States. The company expanded revenue to $1.31B in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.7%. It maintains a net cash position of $52.1M as of June 30, 2026, while offering a 4.15% dividend yield.

Market cap
$4.77B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.39B
P/E
54.9x
fwd 19.7x
1Y return
43.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$81.00
71.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow reached $599.7M in FY2025, producing positive free cash flow of $284.3M.
  • The company holds $137.6M in cash against $85.5M in debt, creating a net cash balance of $52.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Consensus estimates project FY2026 EPS to increase 97.8% to $2.54 alongside full-year revenue of $1.52B.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 13.4x and a trailing P/E of 54.9x, above the US-listed Energy peer medians of 8.0x and 15.0x.
  • The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 118.8% against an annual forward dividend of $1.96.
  • The company has missed analyst consensus in 3 of the last 4 reported quarters, beating EPS estimates only 1 time.

What Kodiak Gas Services does

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. specializes in providing contract compression infrastructure solutions for clients within the United States oil and gas sector. The company operates through two main segments: Compression Operations and Other Services. In Compression Operations, Kodiak manages both company-owned and customer-owned compression infrastructure, supporting the production, gathering, and transportation of natural gas and oil. The Other Services segment provides contract station construction, maintenance, and overhaul activities, alongside ancillary time and material-based solutions. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company was founded in 2010 as Frontier TopCo, Inc. and has 1,300 employees.

Growth and profitability

Kodiak grew annual revenue from $606.4M in FY2021 to $1.31B in FY2025, recording a 12.8% revenue increase in FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 42.2% in FY2025 from 38.0% in FY2024, while operating margin rose to 31.7% from 21.5%. Net income reached $80.5M in FY2025, up from $49.9M in FY2024, resulting in FY2025 diluted EPS of $1.43. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.39B with an operating margin of 34.2% and a profit margin of 5.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 21.1% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 23.3%.

KGS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kodiak held $137.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $85.5M, yielding a net cash position of $52.1M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 on shareholders' equity of $2.16B. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $599.7M, generating free cash flow of $284.3M after capital expenditures of $315.5M. Capital return in FY2025 consisted of $159.6M in dividends paid and $104.0M in share buybacks.

KGS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

KGS shares trade at a trailing P/E of 54.9x and a forward P/E of 19.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. The company carries an enterprise value of $8.07B, trading at an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 13.4x compared to the peer median of 8.0x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.4x versus 1.8x for the peer group. Over the past year, KGS returned 43.9%, outpacing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%, though the stock closed at $47.21 on October 16, 2026, which is 18.9% below its 200-day moving average.

KGS key metrics →

KGS dividend

Kodiak Gas Services pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annual forward payout of $1.96 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.15%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 118.8%, and the company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years, with its most recent ex-dividend date on August 17, 2026.

KGS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 10 Strong Buy and 5 Buy ratings, with zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $81.00, representing a 71.6% premium over the last close of $47.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.54 on revenue of $1.52B. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts project EPS of $3.17 on revenue of $1.74B. Kodiak has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 3, 2026.

KGS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The dividend payout ratio of 118.8% exceeds net earnings, requiring ongoing cash flow generation to maintain the $1.96 annual payout.
  • Short interest sits at 10.4% of float while the share price trades 18.9% below its 200-day average.
  • Free cash flow has fluctuated historically, including negative readings of -$39.5M in FY2022 and -$9.0M in FY2024 due in part to capital expenditures.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KGS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KGS income statement, KGS balance sheet, KGS key metrics, KGS analyst forecast, KGS chart. See the KGS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KGS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Kodiak Gas Services' dividend yield and payout frequency?

Kodiak Gas Services pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $1.96 per share, equating to a dividend yield of 4.15%.

How leveraged is Kodiak Gas Services' balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $137.6M in cash and short-term investments and $85.5M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $52.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.

What are Wall Street analysts projecting for KGS earnings and revenue?

Analysts project full-year FY2026 EPS of $2.54 on revenue of $1.52B, followed by FY2027 EPS of $3.17 on revenue of $1.74B.

When does Kodiak Gas Services report earnings next?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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