Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. (HRMY) AI Stock Analysis
HRMY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on therapies for rare neurological disorders, centered on its narcolepsy medication WAKIX. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $959.9M with an operating margin of 34.2%, while quarterly revenue expanded 30.3% year-over-year. The company maintains a net cash position of $513.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.21B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $959.9M
- P/E
- 12.2x fwd 10.1x
- 1Y return
- 46.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $48.25 27.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month revenue climbed to $959.9M, supported by 30.3% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth.
- The company generated $347.9M in free cash flow in FY2025 and held $513.8M in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Consensus forecasts project FY2026 EPS of $5.22, representing 45.1% growth over the prior year.
Bear case
- Annual gross margin compressed from 81.8% in FY2021 to 77.2% in FY2025.
- Short interest represents 12.7% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
- The stock delivered a 5-year return of -3.7%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 83.0%.
What Harmony Biosciences does
Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. is a pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes therapies for individuals suffering from rare neurological disorders in the United States. Established in 2017 and headquartered in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania, the company's core product is WAKIX, an innovative treatment designed for adult patients with narcolepsy to manage excessive daytime sleepiness. Formerly known as Harmony Biosciences II, Inc. until February 2020, the company leverages its clinical expertise and pipeline to address significant unmet medical needs across rare neurological conditions.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded from $305.4M to $868.5M, delivering a five-year revenue CAGR of 40.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew 21.5% in FY2025, down from 91.2% in FY2021, while gross margin shifted from 81.8% in FY2021 to 77.2% in FY2025. Net income increased from $34.6M in FY2021 to $158.7M in FY2025, with EPS reaching $3.35. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $959.9M with an operating margin of 34.2% and EPS of $3.10. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 30.3% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 88.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $667.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $154.0M, resulting in a net cash balance of $513.8M. Total assets stood at $1.37B and shareholders' equity was $999.2M, supported by a current ratio of 3.48 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $348.2M, yielding free cash flow of $347.9M after capital expenditures of $310,000. Over five years, the share count declined 2.6%.
Valuation and performance
At a market capitalization of $2.21B and enterprise value of $1.84B, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.2x and a forward P/E of 10.1x. These multiples sit below the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, which reflect a trailing P/E of 24.6x and a forward P/E of 17.3x. Its EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 6.6x also trades below the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, the shares returned 46.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of -3.7% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $48.25 implies 27.1% upside from the last close of $37.95 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.03B and EPS of $5.22, reflecting 45.1% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue growth slowed from 91.2% in FY2021 to 21.5% in FY2025, which may pressure top-line momentum.
- Research and development spending climbed from $30.4M in FY2021 to $189.6M in FY2025, which could impact margins if clinical programs face hurdles.
- The company met or exceeded EPS consensus in only 2 of the last 4 quarters, indicating potential quarterly earnings volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HRMY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. (HRMY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HRMY income statement, HRMY balance sheet, HRMY key metrics, HRMY analyst forecast, HRMY chart. See the HRMY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HRMY AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Harmony Biosciences pay a dividend?
Harmony Biosciences does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed its cash flow into operations, generating $347.9M in free cash flow while spending $310,000 on capital expenditures.
What is Harmony Biosciences' primary product?
The company's lead commercial product is WAKIX, an approved therapy designed for adult patients with narcolepsy to treat excessive daytime sleepiness. WAKIX contributed to trailing twelve-month revenue reaching $959.9M as of June 30, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for HRMY earnings and revenue?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.03B and EPS of $5.22. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $1.17B and EPS of $7.00.
How does Harmony Biosciences' valuation compare to healthcare peers?
HRMY trades at a forward P/E of 10.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 6.6x. Both multiples trade at a discount to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, which have a forward P/E of 17.3x and EV-to-EBITDA of 12.0x.