Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) AI Stock Analysis
HLIT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHarmonic Inc. (HLIT) provides video delivery software, streaming products, and cable access solutions worldwide. In FY2025, revenue dropped 46.9% to $360.5M, but quarterly revenue rebounded 53.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company maintains a net cash position of $101.7M with total cash and short-term investments of $231.9M.
- Market cap
- $1.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $443.9M
- P/E
- 41.1x fwd 18.8x
- 1Y return
- 3.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.14 51.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 53.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Harmonic carries a net cash balance of $101.7M with a liquid current ratio of 3.05.
- Analysts estimate FY2026 EPS will grow 230.7% to $0.50 following 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats.
Bear case
- Revenue fell 46.9% in FY2025 to $360.5M, leaving five-year revenue CAGR at -1.0%.
- Harmonic posted an annual net loss of -$43.3M in FY2025, and its trailing twelve-month profit margin is -10.6%.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, with EV/EBITDA at 49.8x compared to the peer median of 16.6x.
What Harmonic does
Harmonic Inc. specializes in video delivery software, products, systems, and services globally, operating across two primary segments: Video and Cable Access. The Video segment offers video processing, production, and playout solutions, including encoders, video servers, edge processors, and Software-as-a-Service tools for live streaming, video-on-demand, and cloud-based DVR services. The Cable Access segment provides CableOS software-based solutions and centralized cloud services for cable operators seeking advanced network infrastructure. Harmonic's products enable the creation, storage, and streaming of video across devices ranging from televisions and computers to tablets and smartphones, supported by technical consulting and maintenance services.
Growth and profitability
Revenue fluctuated over the past five fiscal years, rising 33.9% to $507.1M in FY2021 and reaching $678.7M in FY2024 with a 53.9% gross margin. In FY2025, revenue fell 46.9% to $360.5M, resulting in a net loss of -$43.3M, a net margin of -12.0%, and a five-year revenue CAGR of -1.0%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $443.9M with an operating margin of 18.0% and EPS of $0.26. Growth accelerated in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly revenue expanding 53.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings growing 31.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Harmonic held $231.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $130.1M, yielding net cash of $101.7M. Liquidity remains supported by a current ratio of 3.05 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 against shareholders' equity of $360.3M. In FY2025, the company generated $108.0M in operating cash flow and $96.9M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 directed $11.1M toward capital expenditures and $79.0M toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Harmonic trades at a trailing P/E of 41.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 49.8x, both above the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 16.6x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 18.8x matches the peer median of 18.8x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.6x sits below the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 3.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 15.3% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $16.14 represents a 51.0% premium over the last close of $10.69. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $516.6M and EPS of $0.50, representing projected EPS growth of 230.7%. Harmonic beat EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings next on November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock traded 7.5% below its 200-day average with a beta of 1.33, signaling above-average market volatility.
- Short interest represents 8.8% of the public float.
- Profitability remains pressured, evidenced by a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -10.6%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HLIT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Harmonic Inc. (HLIT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HLIT income statement, HLIT balance sheet, HLIT key metrics, HLIT analyst forecast, HLIT chart. See the HLIT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HLIT AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Harmonic Inc. do?
Harmonic Inc. provides video delivery software, edge processors, streaming SaaS tools, and CableOS network solutions for cable, telecommunications, and streaming providers.
Does HLIT pay a dividend?
No, Harmonic Inc. does not pay a dividend.
What is Harmonic's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Harmonic held $231.9M in cash and short-term investments against $130.1M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $101.7M.
What are analysts forecasting for HLIT stock?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $16.14, which is 51.0% above its last close of $10.69, and forecast FY2026 EPS of $0.50 on revenue of $516.6M.