HUTCHMED (China) Limited (HCM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: HCMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HCM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

HUTCHMED (China) Limited is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on targeted cancer therapies and immunological treatments. The company generated $549.1M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but annual sales declined 12.7% in FY2025 to $550.0M. HUTCHMED maintains a strong liquidity profile with $1.38B in cash and short-term investments against $94.5M in total debt.

Market cap
$2.44B
Revenue (TTM)
$549.1M
P/E
140.5x
fwd 18.1x
1Y return
-8.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$20.59
46.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company closed June 30, 2026, with a strong balance sheet featuring $1.28B in net cash and a current ratio of 5.64.
  • Analyst consensus points to an average price target of $20.59, representing 46.6% upside from the share price of $14.05.
  • Revenue is estimated to expand 11.5% in FY2027 to reach $698.8M with EPS forecasted at $0.26.

Bear case

  • Revenue dropped 12.7% in FY2025 to $550.0M, extending a decline from $838.0M reported in FY2023.
  • Cash generation remains negative, with free cash flow of -$88.8M and operating cash flow of -$64.7M in FY2025.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 96.5% year-over-year.

What HUTCHMED does

HUTCHMED (China) Limited discovers, develops, and commercializes targeted therapies and immunotherapies for cancer and immunological diseases. Operating through Oncology/Immunology and Other Ventures segments, its pipeline features Savolitinib for non-small cell lung cancer, renal cell carcinoma, colorectal cancer, and gastric cancer. It also advances Fruquintinib across various solid tumors and Surufatinib for neuroendocrine tumors. Additional candidates include HMPL-523, Tazemetostat, and HMPL-306. The company partners with AstraZeneca AB, Lilly (Shanghai) Management Company Limited, BeiGene, and Epizyme, Inc.

Growth and profitability

From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 19.2%, peaking at $838.0M in FY2023 before falling 24.8% to $630.2M in FY2024 and 12.7% to $550.0M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted to 38.7% in FY2025 alongside an operating margin of -10.0%. However, FY2025 net income reached $458.1M, representing an 83.3% net margin. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $549.1M with an operating margin of 0.3% and EPS of $0.10. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 96.5%.

HCM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, HUTCHMED held $1.38B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $94.5M, resulting in net cash of $1.28B. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.26B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 and a current ratio of 5.64. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$64.7M and free cash flow was -$88.8M after capital expenditures of $24.1M.

HCM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a market cap of $2.44B and enterprise value of $1.24B, HUTCHMED trades at a trailing P/E of 140.5x, well above the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 24.6x. Its forward P/E of 18.1x and price-to-sales ratio of 4.4x compare to peer medians of 17.3x and 4.1x, while its EV/EBITDA of 2.4x sits below the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 8.8% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of -56.5% lagged the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.

HCM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment is predominantly favorable, with 9 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $20.59, implying 46.6% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $14.05. Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $626.6M and EPS of $0.22, followed by FY2027 revenue of $698.8M and EPS of $0.26. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters.

HCM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company experienced consecutive annual sales declines, dropping 24.8% in FY2024 and 12.7% in FY2025.
  • Earnings predictability is low, as the company beat consensus EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Ongoing cash burn is underscored by FY2025 free cash flow of -$88.8M and R&D spending of $164.1M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HCM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of HUTCHMED (China) Limited (HCM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HCM income statement, HCM balance sheet, HCM key metrics, HCM analyst forecast, HCM chart. See the HCM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HCM AI stock analysis FAQ

Does HUTCHMED pay a dividend?

No dividend information is reported for HUTCHMED, as the company reinvests capital into R&D and clinical programs, expending $164.1M on R&D in FY2025.

What are analysts' expectations for HUTCHMED's stock price?

Analysts have set a mean price target of $20.59, representing an upside of 46.6% compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $14.05. The ratings comprise 9 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations.

How strong is HUTCHMED's financial position?

As of June 30, 2026, HUTCHMED held $1.38B in cash and short-term investments against $94.5M of total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $1.28B and a current ratio of 5.64.

What is HUTCHMED's revenue outlook?

Analysts estimate revenue of $626.6M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, followed by 11.5% growth to $698.8M for the next fiscal year.

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