Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TAKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TAK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a global biopharmaceutical manufacturer focused on gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, and neuroscience. For FY2026, the company generated revenue of $4.78T with net income of $203.33B, alongside an annual free cash flow of $626.77B. Over the trailing twelve months, quarterly revenue growth stood at 10.2%, while Takeda maintained a forward dividend yield of 3.13%.

Market cap
$62.84B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.62T
P/E
—
fwd 11.5x
1Y return
47.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$22.75
15.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue has expanded at an 8.4% 5-year CAGR, climbing to $4.78T in FY2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.5x, which is lower than the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x.
  • FY2026 free cash flow generated was $626.77B, supporting capital allocation priorities.

Bear case

  • Gross margin narrowed from 69.0% in FY2022 to 51.1% in FY2026.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 279.9%, while 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 0.9%.
  • Total debt was $4.94T as of June 30, 2026, leading to net debt of $4.41T.

What Takeda Pharmaceutical does

Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited researches, develops, manufactures, and distributes pharmaceutical products across Japan, the United States, Europe, Canada, Latin America, Russia, and other parts of Asia. The company's portfolio targets therapeutic areas including gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, oncology, and neuroscience, offering treatments under brands such as Entyvio, Gattex/Revestive, Takecab, and Vyvanse. In addition to commercializing therapies, Takeda engages in strategic collaborations and research licensing agreements with institutions and biotechnology firms, including Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc., the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, and Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc., to advance medical treatments and meet unmet healthcare needs.

Growth and profitability

Takeda delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.4% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual revenue expanded from $3.57T in FY2022 to $4.03T in FY2023, $4.26T in FY2024, $4.58T in FY2025, and $4.78T in FY2026. Gross margin compressed from 69.0% in FY2022 to 51.1% in FY2026, while operating margin was 12.0% in FY2026 after dropping to 5.0% in FY2024. Annual net income reached $203.33B in FY2026, with EPS of $150.44. In the trailing twelve months, revenue was $4.62T with an operating margin of 16.4% and an eps_ttm of -$0.34. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 10.2%, while quarterly earnings fell 9.8%.

TAK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Takeda held cash and short-term investments of $527.58B against total debt of $4.94T, resulting in net debt of $4.41T and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. Shareholders' equity was $7.56T and the current ratio stood at 1.14. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $1.04T and free cash flow was $626.77B. Capital allocation during FY2026 included capital expenditures of $414.66B, share buybacks of $51.60B, and dividends paid of $311.90B, while share count changed 1.9% over 5 years.

TAK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TAK trades at a forward P/E of 11.5x, below the 17.3x forward P/E median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 23.7x, compared to the peer median of 12.0x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.0x against the peer median of 4.1x. The company's PEG ratio stands at 0.42 and price-to-book is 1.3x. Over the past year, the stock returned 47.2%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year horizon, TAK returned 71.9% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

TAK key metrics →

TAK dividend

Takeda offers an annual forward dividend of $0.62 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.13%, with its last ex-dividend date on September 29, 2026. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 19 years. The payout ratio is 279.9%, and the 5-year annualized dividend growth is -0.9%.

TAK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment reflects 3 Strong Buy ratings, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 StrongSell ratings. The mean price target is $22.75, representing a 15.7% upside relative to the last close of $19.67. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.70T and EPS of $154.63, representing expected EPS growth of 153.5%. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

TAK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $4.94T exceeds cash and short-term investments of $527.58B, leaving net debt at $4.41T.
  • Gross margin dropped to 51.1% in FY2026 from 65.5% in FY2025.
  • Trailing twelve months profit margin was -3.5%, and return on equity was -2.3%.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 9.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TAK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TAK income statement, TAK balance sheet, TAK key metrics, TAK analyst forecast, TAK chart. See the TAK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TAK AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Takeda's revenue and net income in FY2026?

In FY2026, Takeda reported revenue of $4.78T and net income of $203.33B, compared to revenue of $4.58T and net income of $107.93B in FY2025.

What is Takeda's dividend yield and dividend history?

Takeda pays an annual forward dividend of $0.62 per share, giving a dividend yield of 3.13%. The company has paid dividends for 19 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -0.9%.

What are analyst price targets for TAK stock?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $22.75 for TAK, which implies a 15.7% upside from the last closing price of $19.67. All 3 covering analyst ratings are Strong Buy.

What is Takeda's debt position as of June 30, 2026?

As of June 30, 2026, Takeda had total debt of $4.94T and cash and short-term investments of $527.58B, resulting in net debt of $4.41T and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65.

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