Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HASIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HASI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) is a REIT providing capital for energy efficiency, renewable energy, and sustainable infrastructure projects. Revenue contracted 36.6% in FY2025 to $400.5M before rebounding with 804.4% year-over-year quarterly growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The stock offers a 4.67% dividend yield but carries net debt of $5.65B.

Market cap
$4.68B
Revenue (TTM)
$127.3M
P/E
56.0x
fwd 11.1x
1Y return
27.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$49.71
36.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts maintain 8 Strong Buy and 4 Buy ratings with a mean price target of $49.71, representing 36.5% potential upside.
  • Quarterly revenue surged 804.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 24.5%.
  • The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.67% supported by 14 consecutive years of dividend distributions.

Bear case

  • Total debt of $5.90B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $249.9M, leaving net debt at $5.65B.
  • Revenue fell 36.6% in FY2025 to $400.5M while operating margin dropped to -6.8%.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the 5-year share count change showing an increase of 61.4%.

What HA Sustainable Infrastructure does

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. specializes in providing capital and services to advance the energy efficiency, renewable energy, and sustainable infrastructure markets across the United States. It finances building energy efficiency initiatives, including solar generation, energy storage systems, lighting, HVAC, and building shell improvements. The company also supports grid-connected solar and wind power projects, along with transmission, distribution, and water infrastructure. Operating as a real estate investment trust (REIT), it distributes at least 90% of taxable income to shareholders. Founded in 1981, the company is headquartered in Annapolis, Maryland.

Growth and profitability

Revenue experienced significant volatility across recent years, growing 44.6% to $339.6M in FY2021, declining 20.2% to $271.0M in FY2022, and expanding 70.0% to $460.8M in FY2023. In FY2024, revenue reached $631.5M with an operating margin of 43.4% and net income of $200.0M. Revenue fell 36.6% to $400.5M in FY2025 as gross margin contracted to 27.0% and operating margin was -6.8%, though net income stood at $184.5M. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved an 11.3% CAGR. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $127.3M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 804.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 24.5%.

HASI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $249.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.90B, resulting in net debt of $5.65B. Total assets stood at $8.94B, and shareholders' equity was $2.54B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.32 and a current ratio of 41.65. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $167.3M in FY2025. During FY2025, cash deployment included $209.8M paid in dividends and $8.4M dedicated to share buybacks.

HASI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $36.42, HASI has a market cap of $4.68B and an enterprise value of $9.83B. Its trailing P/E ratio of 56.0x and price-to-sales ratio of 36.8x trade well above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 3.2x, respectively. However, its forward P/E of 11.1x is closer to the peer median of 10.8x, and its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 5.8x is below the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, HASI returned 27.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -19.0% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

HASI key metrics →

HASI dividend

HASI pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.70 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 4.67%. Its payout ratio is 57.5%. The company has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.

HASI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage comprises 8 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $49.71 suggests a 36.5% upside over the last close of $36.42. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.03 on revenue of $473.6M. HASI beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

HASI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.32 creates heightened financial leverage risk for the balance sheet.
  • The stock exhibits above-market price volatility with a beta of 1.42 and short interest at 15.2% of float.
  • Trailing valuation is elevated, as the trailing P/E of 56.0x sits well above the peer median of 12.1x.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HASI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HASI income statement, HASI balance sheet, HASI key metrics, HASI analyst forecast, HASI chart. See the HASI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HASI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is HASI's dividend yield and payout?

HASI provides a forward annual dividend of $1.70 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 4.67% and a payout ratio of 57.5%.

What is the consensus price target for HASI?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $49.71, representing an implied upside of 36.5% from the last close of $36.42.

How much debt does HASI have?

As of June 30, 2026, HASI had total debt of $5.90B and cash and short-term investments of $249.9M, resulting in net debt of $5.65B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.32.

When does HASI report its next earnings?

HASI's next scheduled earnings date is November 5, 2026.

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