Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) AI Stock Analysis
GROY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGold Royalty Corp. (GROY) is a precious metals royalty company with net smelter return royalties across 17 gold properties. The company generated $22.6M in trailing twelve months revenue, recording a 76.1% quarterly revenue increase as of June 30, 2026. However, free cash flow remained negative at -$66.8M in FY2025 despite operating cash flow turning positive to $6.2M.
- Market cap
- $690.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $22.6M
- P/E
- — fwd 31.8x
- 1Y return
- -21.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.03 68.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 4-year CAGR of 200.3% from FY2021 through FY2025, with quarterly revenue advancing 76.1% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet maintains $14.1M in net cash with only $54,000 in total debt, yielding a current ratio of 4.80 as of June 30, 2026.
- Operating cash flow reached positive territory at $6.2M in FY2025, alongside gross margin expansion to 76.4%.
Bear case
- Free cash flow remained negative at -$66.8M in FY2025, weighed down by $73.0M in capital expenditures.
- Significant dilution has occurred, evidenced by a 117.7% increase in share count over 5 years alongside $107.2M in share issuance in FY2025.
- Valuation multiples are elevated relative to peers, including a price-to-sales ratio of 30.6x compared to the US-listed Basic Materials median of 1.8x.
What Gold Royalty does
Gold Royalty Corp., headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, operates as a specialized royalty company within the precious metals sector. Established in 2020, the company provides financing solutions tailored to the metals and mining industry. Gold Royalty Corp. strategically acquires royalties, streams, and similar interests across various stages of the mine life cycle, spanning near-term, medium-term, and longer-term horizons. Its asset base centers on a portfolio of net smelter return royalties, typically ranging from 0.5% to 2.0% across 17 gold properties, aiming to capture demand for precious metals while mitigating operational risks tied to direct mining activities.
Growth and profitability
Gold Royalty Corp. grew annual revenue from $191,991 in FY2021 to $15.6M in FY2025, representing a 4-year revenue CAGR of 200.3%. In FY2025, revenue increased 54.5%, gross margin expanded to 76.4%, and operating margin turned positive to 10.9%, though net income remained negative at -$4.1M. Operating cash flow improved from -$11.9M in FY2021 to $6.2M in FY2025, while free cash flow stood at -$66.8M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $22.6M with an operating margin of 27.7% and a profit margin of 6.7%. In the latest quarter, revenue rose 76.1% year-over-year, and trailing EPS was $0.00.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gold Royalty Corp. held $14.1M in cash and short-term investments and $54,000 in total debt, resulting in net cash of $14.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. Total assets were $850.1M, shareholders' equity stood at $724.5M, and the current ratio was 4.80. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $6.2M, while capital expenditures reached $73.0M. The company funded outlays in part through $107.2M in share issuance, contributing to a 117.7% increase in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Gold Royalty Corp. trades at a forward P/E of 31.8x, compared to the median of 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 30.6x versus the peer median of 1.8x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 55.8x compared to the peer median of 10.5x. The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.0x and an enterprise value of $722.7M. Over the past year, the stock fell 21.4% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock declined 45.1%, trailing the S&P 500's return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Buy ratings and no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $5.03, representing a 68.8% premium to the last close of $2.98. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.05 and revenue of $32.8M. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts anticipate EPS of $0.09 and revenue of $48.5M, reflecting 47.8% revenue growth. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's enterprise value of $722.7M trades at 55.8x EV-to-EBITDA, substantially higher than the peer median of 10.5x.
- Net income has remained negative through FY2025 at -$4.1M, with trailing return on equity at 0.2%.
- Shareholder returns have lagged broad markets, with a 1-year return of -21.4% and a 5-year return of -45.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GROY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GROY income statement, GROY balance sheet, GROY key metrics, GROY analyst forecast, GROY chart. See the GROY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GROY AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Gold Royalty Corp.'s primary line of business?
Gold Royalty Corp. acquires royalties, streams, and similar interests across different stages of the mine life cycle, primarily holding net smelter return royalties between 0.5% and 2.0% across 17 gold properties.
Does Gold Royalty Corp. pay a dividend?
Gold Royalty Corp. does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the consensus analyst target for GROY stock?
The 5 covering analysts all hold Buy ratings with a mean price target of $5.03, which is 68.8% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $2.98.
How leveraged is Gold Royalty Corp.?
The company carries minimal leverage, holding $14.1M in cash and short-term investments against $54,000 in total debt as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00.