GeoPark Limited (GPRK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GPRKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GPRK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

GeoPark Limited (GPRK) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company operating in Latin America. In FY2025, revenue was $492.5M with net income of $49.7M, though quarterly revenue rebounded 19.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The stock has gained 91.7% over the past year while trading at a trailing P/E of 8.1x.

Market cap
$763.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$507.1M
P/E
8.1x
fwd 2.1x
1Y return
91.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$10.85
-7.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve month return on equity reached 28.6%, supported by quarterly earnings growth of 44.0% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 2.1x, well below the US-listed Energy peer median of 12.7x.
  • Analysts forecast next fiscal year EPS growth of 62.8% to $1.78, following 4 consecutive quarters of EPS beats.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue contracted for three straight years, falling from $1.05B in FY2022 to $492.5M in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow dropped to -$83.7M in FY2025 as operating cash flow declined to $14.7M.
  • The consensus analyst price target of $10.85 is 7.7% below the last close of $11.76.

What GeoPark does

GeoPark Limited is an exploration, development, and production company focused on oil and gas reserves in Latin America, including Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador. As of December 31, 2021, the company's operational footprint spanned 42 hydrocarbon blocks, supported by net proved reserves of 87.8 million barrels of oil equivalent. Founded in 2002 and based in Bogota, Colombia, GeoPark collaborates with strategic partners such as ONGC Videsh to acquire, invest in, and optimize upstream oil and gas projects across the region.

Growth and profitability

From FY2021 to FY2022, GeoPark's revenue grew 52.4% to peak at $1.05B, with net income reaching $224.4M and an operating margin of 50.0%. However, revenue declined in subsequent years, dropping 27.9% in FY2023, 12.7% in FY2024, and 25.5% in FY2025 to $492.5M. Net margin compressed from 21.4% in FY2022 to 10.1% in FY2025, resulting in net income of $49.7M and EPS of $1.07. Performance showed improvement in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, where quarterly revenue grew 19.6% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 44.0%, bringing trailing twelve month revenue to $507.1M with an operating margin of 27.5%.

GPRK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, GeoPark held $316.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $660.1M, yielding net debt of $343.8M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.17 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81 based on shareholders' equity of $364.5M. In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to $14.7M, leading to free cash flow of -$83.7M after capital expenditures of $98.4M. Dividends paid totaled $24.2M in FY2025, while share count increased 7.0% over 5 years.

GPRK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $11.76, GeoPark trades at a trailing P/E of 8.1x and a forward P/E of 2.1x, both below the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio stands at 7.2x, compared to the peer median of 8.0x. Over the past year, GPRK returned 91.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of -3.8% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

GPRK key metrics →

GPRK dividend

GeoPark pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.09 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.78% and a payout ratio of 6.6%. The company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 41.9%. The last ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.

GPRK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $10.85 represents a 7.7% discount to the last close of $11.76. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $587.5M and EPS of $1.09. GeoPark has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.

GPRK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $660.1M compared to shareholders' equity of $364.5M results in an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81.
  • Gross margin weakened from 56.5% in FY2022 to 47.6% in FY2025.
  • Insiders hold 56.1% of shares, which concentrates substantial voting control within management and internal stakeholders.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GPRK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of GeoPark Limited (GPRK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GPRK income statement, GPRK balance sheet, GPRK key metrics, GPRK analyst forecast, GPRK chart. See the GPRK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GPRK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is GeoPark's dividend yield?

GeoPark has a forward dividend yield of 0.78% with an annual dividend of $0.09 paid quarterly. Its payout ratio is 6.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years.

When does GeoPark report earnings next?

GeoPark is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. The company has surpassed EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters.

How is GeoPark valued relative to its peers?

GeoPark trades at a trailing P/E of 8.1x and an EV to EBITDA of 7.2x, both below the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 8.0x, respectively.

What are analysts forecasting for GeoPark's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $587.5M and EPS of $1.09. For the next fiscal year, analysts project revenue of $691.9M and EPS of $1.78.

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