GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) AI Stock Analysis
GCMG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGCM Grosvenor Inc is an alternative asset management firm focused on multi-strategy, private equity, credit, real estate, and infrastructure portfolios. In FY2025, revenue grew 9.2% to $550.1M while net income reached $45.4M. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $566.9M in revenue with a profit margin of 7.8%.
- Market cap
- $767.7M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $566.9M
- P/E
- 24.2x fwd 11.9x
- 1Y return
- 13.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.50 23.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings jumped 136.3% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- EV/EBITDA of 5.5x sits well below the US-listed Financial Services peer group median of 11.7x.
- The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 3.82% backed by a 59.3% payout ratio.
Bear case
- Total debt of $412.9M heavily exceeds shareholders' equity of $25.3M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.30.
- The 5-year return of 38.0% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- Share count has expanded by 363.1% over the past 5 years.
What GCM Grosvenor does
Grosvenor Capital Management, L.P. is a global provider of alternative asset management solutions, serving pooled investment vehicles, investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension plans, and governmental entities. Established in 1971 and based in Chicago, Illinois, the firm focuses on equity and alternative investment markets domestically and internationally. It specializes in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and specialty portfolios spanning hedge funds, private equity, real estate, and infrastructure. In recent years, it has also begun exploring opportunities within the cryptocurrency sector to incorporate blockchain technology and digital assets into its portfolio strategies.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, GCM Grosvenor's revenue expanded from $538.6M to $550.1M, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.8%. After revenue fell 16.1% in FY2022 to $452.0M and 3.5% in FY2023 to $436.1M, the business rebounded with 15.5% growth in FY2024 to $503.5M and 9.2% growth in FY2025. Operating margin improved from -4.4% in FY2023 to 26.9% in FY2025, with net income rising to $45.4M and EPS reaching $0.80. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 136.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, GCM Grosvenor held $139.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $412.9M, leaving net debt at $273.3M. Total assets stood at $677.0M against shareholders' equity of $25.3M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.30 and a current ratio of 2.55. In FY2025, the business generated $183.5M in operating cash flow and $175.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $8.5M, while the company returned capital through $30.7M in share buybacks and $25.3M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
GCM Grosvenor trades at a trailing P/E of 24.2x and a forward P/E of 11.9x, compared to median ratios of 12.1x and 10.8x for the US-listed Financial Services peer group. Its enterprise value of $1.06B equates to an EV/EBITDA of 5.5x, below the sector median of 11.7x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 1.4x versus the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, GCMG returned 13.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 38.0%, below the S&P 500's 83.0% return.
GCMG dividend
GCM Grosvenor pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.48 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.82%. The dividend payout ratio is 59.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $15.50 stands 23.4% above the last close of $12.56. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate revenue of $586.9M and EPS of $0.90, representing 7.1% EPS growth. GCM Grosvenor has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the past 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High financial leverage is indicated by net debt of $273.3M alongside shareholders' equity of $25.3M.
- Operating margin has exhibited volatility, dropping to -4.4% in FY2023 before recovering to 26.9% in FY2025.
- Earnings consistency has been mixed, with EPS beats recorded in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GCMG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GCMG income statement, GCMG balance sheet, GCMG key metrics, GCMG analyst forecast, GCMG chart. See the GCMG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GCMG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is GCM Grosvenor's dividend yield?
GCM Grosvenor pays a forward dividend of $0.48 per share, which yields 3.82% based on its recent closing price. It has maintained 6 consecutive years of dividend payments.
What are analysts' price targets for GCMG?
The mean analyst price target is $15.50, which is 23.4% above the last close of $12.56. Out of 5 analyst ratings, 4 are Buy or Strong Buy, and 1 is Hold.
How fast is GCM Grosvenor growing?
In FY2025, revenue increased 9.2% to $550.1M, and the 5-year revenue CAGR was 4.8%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 11.8% year-over-year while earnings rose 136.3%.
When is GCM Grosvenor's next earnings report?
The next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.