Fathom Holdings Inc. (FTHM) AI Stock Analysis
FTHM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFathom Holdings Inc. (FTHM) provides cloud-based real estate brokerage, mortgage, and technology services across several US regions. Over the trailing twelve months, the company recorded $406.9M in revenue but remained unprofitable with a net margin of -6.3%. Its shares have dropped 89.4% over the past year, leaving the company with a market capitalization of $6.4M.
- Market cap
- $6.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $406.9M
- P/E
- — fwd 46.5x
- 1Y return
- -89.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2.50 1234.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue increased by 25.4% in FY2025 to reach $420.5M.
- Analyst estimates point toward EPS improving 77.9% to -$0.13 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- The analyst mean price target of $2.50 is 1234.0% above the last closing price of $0.19.
Bear case
- The stock has declined 89.4% over the trailing one-year period and 99.2% over five years.
- Cash flow generation remains negative, with free cash flow of -$20.7M in FY2025 and a current ratio of 0.77.
- The company has missed profit estimates with 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters and an annual net loss of -$20.3M in FY2025.
What Fathom does
Fathom Holdings Inc., based in Cary, North Carolina, offers cloud-based real estate brokerage services across the South, Atlantic, Southwest, and Western regions of the United States. The company is organized into three operating segments: Real Estate Brokerage, Mortgage, and Technology. The Real Estate Brokerage segment serves residential buyers, sellers, landlords, and tenants. The Mortgage segment provides loan origination and underwriting. Its Technology segment develops and deploys Software as a Service solutions, centered on the intelliAgent platform for agent customer relationship management, business intelligence, and marketing. The company also operates under brands including Dagley Insurance, Encompass Lending, LiveBy, and Verus Title.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $330.2M in FY2021 to $420.5M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.9%. Annual top-line growth varied, moving from 86.8% in FY2021 to declines of 16.4% in FY2023 and 2.9% in FY2024, followed by a 25.4% increase in FY2025. Gross margin was 8.1% in FY2025, compared to 9.0% in FY2021. The company has remained unprofitable throughout this period, posting an operating margin of -3.2% and net income of -$20.3M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.6% year-over-year, while trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $406.9M with an operating margin of -3.6% and EPS of -$0.80.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Fathom Holdings held $21.8M in cash and short-term investments against $29.6M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $7.8M. The company reported a current ratio of 0.77 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 on shareholders' equity of $23.9M. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$20.5M, and free cash flow was -$20.7M. Capital expenditures for FY2025 were $121,000, while the company raised $300,000 via share issuance. Over a 5-year span, its share count expanded by 119.6%.
Valuation and performance
FTHM traded at a forward P/E of 46.5x as of October 16, 2026, which is higher than the 23.5x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-sales was 0.0x versus the peer median of 3.7x, and its price-to-book stood at 0.8x. Enterprise value was $43.4M, with an EV-to-revenue ratio of 0.1x. Over the past year, FTHM returned -89.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 99.2% compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.
What analysts expect
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $2.50 for FTHM, compared to its last close of $0.19 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the consensus EPS estimate is -$0.13, representing an estimated earnings improvement of 77.9%. Revenue estimates for the current and next fiscal year are listed at $0. Over the last 4 quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is November 10, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.77 indicates that current assets do not fully cover short-term obligations.
- Operating cash burn persisted at -$20.5M in FY2025, alongside net debt of $7.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- The 5-year share count increased by 119.6%, indicating significant historical equity dilution.
- The stock exhibits a high beta of 2.25 and trades 76.7% below its 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FTHM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Fathom Holdings Inc. (FTHM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FTHM income statement, FTHM balance sheet, FTHM key metrics, FTHM analyst forecast, FTHM chart. See the FTHM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FTHM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Fathom Holdings pay a dividend?
No, Fathom Holdings does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward business operations and technology development.
What is Fathom Holdings' current debt and cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $21.8M in cash and short-term investments and carried $29.6M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $7.8M.
How did FTHM perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, Fathom Holdings generated $420.5M in revenue, reflecting 25.4% growth, but recorded a net loss of -$20.3M and an operating margin of -3.2%.
When is Fathom Holdings' next earnings release?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 10, 2026.