FirstService Corporation (FSV) AI Stock Analysis
FSV AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFirstService Corporation provides property services across residential and commercial sectors in the US and Canada. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.60B in revenue with a net profit margin of 2.9%. Revenue expansion moderated to 5.8% in FY2025, while free cash flow reached $323.8M.
- Market cap
- $5.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.60B
- P/E
- 38.5x fwd 19.5x
- 1Y return
- -25.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $173.25 27.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating cash flow reached $453.7M in FY2025, supporting $323.8M in free cash flow after capital expenditures.
- The company holds a strong earnings track record, having exceeded consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
- Analyst consensus price target of $173.25 points to a 27.7% premium over the last closing price of $135.67.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings growth slipped 1.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- The company carries total debt of $1.56B with net debt standing at $1.38B against cash of $173.4M.
- FirstService has underperformed broader equities, delivering a 1-year return of -25.2% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What FirstService does
FirstService Corporation provides property services across residential and commercial sectors throughout the United States and Canada. It operates via two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. FirstService Residential manages private residential communities, including condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations, and master-planned developments, offering building maintenance staffing, amenity management, security, property insurance brokerage, energy management, advisory, and resale processing services. FirstService Brands provides residential and commercial property services through franchise networks and company-owned locations, featuring brands such as Paul Davis Restoration, CertaPro Painters, California Closets, and Floor Coverings International.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $3.25B in FY2021 to $5.52B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.8%. However, annual revenue growth decelerated from 20.4% in FY2024 to 5.8% in FY2025. Over the same timeframe, gross margin adjusted from 32.2% in FY2021 to 31.8% in FY2025, while operating margin went from 6.2% to 6.1%. Net income totaled $145.6M in FY2025, generating EPS of $5.76. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 1.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, FirstService held $173.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.56B, resulting in net debt of $1.38B. The company recorded a current ratio of 1.67 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28 against shareholders' equity of $1.22B. Operating cash flow improved to $453.7M in FY2025, with free cash flow standing at $323.8M after capital expenditures of $129.9M. The company also allocated $48.9M toward dividends paid during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
FSV trades at a trailing P/E of 38.5x, above the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers of 21.6x. Its forward P/E of 19.5x and enterprise value-to-EBITDA of 13.0x compare to peer medians of 23.5x and 14.7x, respectively. The company carries a price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x versus the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, FSV fell 25.2% against a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return sits at -27.9% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
FSV dividend
FirstService Corporation pays a quarterly dividend, supported by a forward annual dividend of $1.22 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.90%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 12 years and shows a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.8%. The payout ratio stands at 20.9%, with the last ex-dividend date on September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $173.25, representing a 27.7% premium over the last close of $135.67. Consensus estimates project current fiscal year revenue of $5.73B and EPS of $6.12, reflecting 6.5% earnings growth. FirstService has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue growth slowed from 20.4% in FY2024 to 5.8% in FY2025, alongside a 2.4% year-over-year growth rate in the latest quarter.
- The debt-to-equity ratio sits at 1.28, supported by shareholders' equity of $1.22B relative to $1.56B in debt obligations.
- Trailing twelve months profit margin is narrow at 2.9%, making overall profitability sensitive to operating cost shifts.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FSV AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of FirstService Corporation (FSV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FSV income statement, FSV balance sheet, FSV key metrics, FSV analyst forecast, FSV chart. See the FSV stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FSV AI stock analysis FAQ
What is FirstService Corporation's dividend yield and payout ratio?
FirstService yields 0.90% with an annual forward dividend of $1.22 per share. Its payout ratio is 20.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 12 consecutive years.
What are analysts forecasting for FSV in FY2026 and FY2027?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $6.12 on revenue of $5.73B. For the next fiscal year, 10 analysts project EPS of $6.69 and revenue of $6.06B, reflecting 5.8% top-line growth.
How much debt does FirstService Corporation have?
As of June 30, 2026, FirstService reported total debt of $1.56B and cash and short-term investments of $173.4M, resulting in net debt of $1.38B.
When does FirstService Corporation report earnings next?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 22, 2026.