Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM) AI Stock Analysis
FSM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM) is a precious and base metal producer operating mining assets across the Americas and West Africa. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.18B in revenue with a net profit margin of 32.0%. With $380.2M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, the company trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2x.
- Market cap
- $3.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.18B
- P/E
- 9.2x fwd 6.9x
- 1Y return
- 12.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $14.50 35.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 38.2% and quarterly earnings increased 101.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet carries $380.2M in net cash with a current ratio of 3.00 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 3.8x compared to the median of 10.5x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers.
Bear case
- Annual revenue declined 9.6% in FY2025 from $1.06B to $960.1M.
- The stock trades with a beta of 2.18, indicating high volatility relative to the broader market.
- Over the trailing year, the stock's return of 12.6% lagged the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
What Fortuna Silver Mines does
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and extraction of precious and base metal deposits. The company holds operating assets in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d'Ivoire. Key mining assets include the Caylloma mine in Peru producing silver, lead, and zinc, and the San Jose mine in Mexico producing silver and gold. In addition, Fortuna holds interests in the Lindero gold project in Argentina, the Yaramoko gold mine in Burkina Faso, and the Seguela gold mine in Côte d'Ivoire. Established in 1990 and based in Vancouver, Canada, the company operates across key jurisdictions to expand its mineral resource base.
Growth and profitability
Fortuna Silver Mines grew its annual revenue from $599.9M in FY2021 to $1.06B in FY2024, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 28.0% through FY2025. In FY2025, revenue contracted by 9.6% to $960.1M, though gross margin expanded to 48.7% and operating margin rose to 38.5%. Net income reached $302.1M in FY2025, representing a 31.5% net margin. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $1.18B with an operating margin of 51.1% and diluted EPS of $1.17. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 38.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings increased 101.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Fortuna Silver Mines held $614.4M in cash and short-term investments and $234.2M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $380.2M. The company maintains a current ratio of 3.00 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 on shareholders' equity of $1.77B. Operating cash flow totaled $475.5M in FY2025, producing $294.4M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $181.1M in FY2025, while share buybacks totaled $10.4M.
Valuation and performance
Fortuna Silver Mines carries a market capitalization of $3.17B and an enterprise value of $3.08B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.2x and a forward P/E of 6.9x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 3.8x, below the peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 2.7x versus the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 12.6%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but over five years its return of 132.8% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $14.50, representing a 35.4% premium over the last close of $10.71. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.31B and EPS of $1.21, reflecting expected EPS growth of 83.3%. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast revenue of $1.60B and EPS of $1.56. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue dropped 9.6% in FY2025, highlighting operational and commodity price sensitivity.
- A beta of 2.18 exposes investors to significant price swings compared to broader benchmarks.
- The company has beaten EPS estimates in only 2 of the past 4 reported quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FSM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FSM income statement, FSM balance sheet, FSM key metrics, FSM analyst forecast, FSM chart. See the FSM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FSM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Fortuna Silver Mines pay a dividend?
Fortuna Silver Mines does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2025, cash capital deployment included $181.1M in capital expenditures and $10.4M in share buybacks.
What is Fortuna Silver Mines' net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $614.4M in cash and short-term investments against $234.2M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $380.2M.
How does FSM's valuation compare to sector peers?
FSM trades at a trailing P/E of 9.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 3.8x, compared to the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x trailing P/E and 10.5x EV/EBITDA.
What are analysts forecasting for Fortuna Silver Mines' earnings?
Analysts expect FY2026 EPS of $1.21 on revenue of $1.31B, followed by FY2027 estimates of $1.56 EPS on revenue of $1.60B.