Fate Therapeutics, Inc. (FATE) AI Stock Analysis
FATE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFate Therapeutics, Inc. (FATE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and immune disorders. The company generated $6.5M in trailing twelve-month revenue while recording a net loss of -$136.3M in FY2025. As of June 30, 2026, Fate Therapeutics held $153.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash position of $78.1M.
- Market cap
- $214.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.5M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- 16.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.74 220.9% vs last close
Bull case
- The company maintains a solid liquidity cushion with $153.8M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Quarterly revenue for the period ended June 30, 2026, increased 9.2% year-over-year.
- The consensus analyst price target of $5.74 stands 220.9% above the recent closing price of $1.79.
Bear case
- Annual revenue dropped from $96.3M in FY2022 to $6.6M in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -26.7%.
- Cash burn remains substantial, highlighted by free cash flow of -$112.0M and a net loss of -$136.3M in FY2025.
- The stock trades at an elevated price-to-sales multiple of 33.0x compared to the 4.1x median for US-listed Healthcare peers.
What Fate Therapeutics does
Fate Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company based in San Diego, California. The company develops programmed cellular immunotherapies designed to treat cancer and immune disorders. Its pipeline focuses on off-the-shelf natural killer (NK) and T-cell immuno-oncology programs. Key clinical candidates include FT516, FT596, FT538, FT576, FT819, FT536, and FT500, targeting hematologic malignancies such as acute myeloid leukemia, B-cell lymphoma, and multiple myeloma, as well as advanced solid tumors. To advance its research and development, Fate Therapeutics maintains strategic collaborations with Ono Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Juno Therapeutics, Inc., and Janssen Biotech, Inc.
Growth and profitability
Revenue has contracted significantly after reaching $96.3M in FY2022. Revenue fell 34.0% to $63.5M in FY2023, dropped 78.5% to $13.6M in FY2024, and declined 51.2% to $6.6M in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a compound annual growth rate of -26.7%. Operating margin was -2222.4% in FY2025, with research and development expenses totaling $107.8M. Annual net losses were -$136.3M in FY2025, or an EPS of -$1.15, following a net loss of -$186.3M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.2% year-over-year, while trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $6.5M with an operating margin of -1495.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Fate Therapeutics had $153.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $75.7M, yielding net cash of $78.1M. Shareholders' equity was $153.4M and total assets were $260.1M. The company maintained a current ratio of 4.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$106.1M and capital expenditures were $6.0M, resulting in free cash flow of -$112.0M. The company does not repurchase shares, though its share count increased 25.7% over five years.
Valuation and performance
With a market capitalization of $214.5M and an enterprise value of $213.7M, Fate Therapeutics trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 33.0x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 32.9x. These figures trade at a premium to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, which carries a price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.9x. Over the past year, FATE shares gained 16.2%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 benchmark. Over five years, the stock fell 97.1%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on FATE consists of 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean analyst price target is $5.74, representing an upside of 220.9% above the last close of $1.79. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $5.6M and an EPS of -$1.02. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts estimate revenue of $4.8M and an EPS of -$0.97. Fate Therapeutics beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High stock volatility is indicated by a beta of 2.53.
- Ongoing dilution has increased the company's total share count by 25.7% over the past five years.
- Short interest represents 10.1% of the public float, reflecting notable market skepticism.
- Analyst consensus expects revenue to decline 15.6% next fiscal year to $4.8M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FATE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Fate Therapeutics, Inc. (FATE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FATE income statement, FATE balance sheet, FATE key metrics, FATE analyst forecast, FATE chart. See the FATE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FATE AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Fate Therapeutics pay a dividend?
No, Fate Therapeutics does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward clinical research and drug development.
What is Fate Therapeutics' cash and debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Fate Therapeutics held $153.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $75.7M, providing net cash of $78.1M and a current ratio of 4.85.
When does Fate Therapeutics report earnings next?
The company is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 12, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for Fate Therapeutics stock?
Analysts have an average price target of $5.74, which is 220.9% above the last closing price of $1.79. Across 11 tracked ratings, 5 recommend a Buy or Strong Buy and 6 recommend a Hold.