Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ETSYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ETSY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Etsy, Inc. operates specialized online marketplaces connecting buyers and sellers worldwide, including Etsy.com, Reverb, Depop, and Elo7. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.94B in revenue with an operating margin of 18.7%. Etsy carries a market capitalization of $7.81B and trades at a trailing P/E of 24.9x as of October 16, 2026.

Market cap
$7.81B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.94B
P/E
24.9x
fwd 14.9x
1Y return
19.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$87.70
3.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Etsy generated $638.8M in free cash flow in FY2025 and maintained a solid operating margin of 18.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Analyst estimates project EPS of $3.39 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing expected EPS growth of 143.5%.
  • Share buybacks of $776.9M in FY2025 supported an 18.7% reduction in total share count over five years.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries negative shareholders' equity of -$1.40B alongside net debt of $1.95B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Annual net income fell from $303.3M in FY2024 to $163.0M in FY2025, and quarterly earnings declined 7.1% in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Etsy's trailing P/E of 24.9x trades at a premium to the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x.

What Etsy does

Etsy, Inc. operates online marketplaces that facilitate transactions between buyers and sellers globally, with a strong presence in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, France, and India. Its flagship marketplace, Etsy.com, connects artisans, crafters, and entrepreneurs with consumers. The company also oversees specialized platforms including Reverb for musical instruments, Depop for fashion resale, and Elo7 for handmade items in Brazil. Beyond marketplaces, Etsy provides seller services such as Etsy Payments, Etsy Ads, and discounted Shipping Labels. Sellers utilize operational resources including the Shop Manager dashboard, the Sell on Etsy mobile app, and the Star Seller program.

Growth and profitability

Etsy generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $2.33B in FY2021 to $2.57B in FY2022, $2.75B in FY2023, $2.81B in FY2024, and $2.88B in FY2025. Gross margin was 71.6% in FY2025 compared to 71.9% in FY2021. Net income moved from $493.5M in FY2021 to -$694.3M in FY2022, before reaching $307.6M in FY2023, $303.3M in FY2024, and $163.0M in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 6.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 7.1%.

ETSY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Etsy held $1.12B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.08B, resulting in net debt of $1.95B. Total assets stood at $2.44B and shareholders' equity was -$1.40B, while the current ratio was 1.48. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $693.4M and free cash flow was $638.8M. Cash deployment that year included $54.7M in capital expenditures and $776.9M in share buybacks, which contributed to an 18.7% reduction in share count over 5 years.

ETSY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a market capitalization of $7.81B and an enterprise value of $8.72B, Etsy trades at a trailing P/E of 24.9x and a forward P/E of 14.9x. These compare to the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x trailing P/E and 14.1x forward P/E. Etsy's price-to-sales ratio is 2.7x versus the peer median of 0.7x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 15.0x versus the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, Etsy returned 19.2% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of -61.5% lagged the index return of 83.0%.

ETSY key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings from Wall Street analysts include 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 18 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $87.70, representing a 3.0% premium over the last close of $85.14. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.85B and EPS of $3.39, reflecting 143.5% EPS growth. Across 27 analysts, next fiscal year estimates project revenue of $2.98B and EPS of $4.54. Etsy beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

ETSY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A beta of 1.86 and short interest representing 16.7% of the float point to significant price volatility.
  • Total debt of $3.08B substantially exceeds cash and short-term investments of $1.12B as of June 30, 2026.
  • The 5-year return of -61.5% has significantly lagged the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 83.0%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ETSY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Etsy, Inc. (ETSY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ETSY income statement, ETSY balance sheet, ETSY key metrics, ETSY analyst forecast, ETSY chart. See the ETSY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ETSY AI stock analysis FAQ

What are Etsy's key trailing twelve month financial metrics?

Over the trailing twelve months, Etsy reported revenue of $2.94B, an operating margin of 18.7%, a profit margin of 7.1%, and diluted EPS of $3.42.

Does Etsy pay a dividend?

Etsy does not pay a dividend. Cash is utilized for other corporate purposes, including $54.7M in capital expenditures and $776.9M in share buybacks during FY2025.

How does Etsy's valuation compare to its sector peers?

Etsy trades at a trailing P/E of 24.9x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 15.0x, which are higher than the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively.

What is the consensus analyst outlook for Etsy?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $87.70, which is 3.0% above the last close of $85.14. The consensus rating breakdown includes 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 18 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell.

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