Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ERIIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ERII AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) develops energy recovery devices and pumping technologies for seawater reverse osmosis desalination and industrial wastewater treatment. As of June 30, 2026, the company held a debt-free balance sheet with $84.8M in net cash and a current ratio of 8.05. However, revenue fell 57.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter, and the stock is down 60.4% over the trailing 12 months.

Market cap
$339.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$120.6M
P/E
25.6x
fwd 21.2x
1Y return
-60.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$8.00
20.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Energy Recovery carries $84.8M in net cash with a current ratio of 8.05 and total debt of only $8.2M as of June 30, 2026.
  • The business generated $17.4M in free cash flow in FY2025, which supported $35.6M in share repurchases.
  • Analyst estimates forecast a rebound in the next fiscal year, with revenue projected to grow 44.1% to $104.9M and EPS reaching $0.34.

Bear case

  • Revenue in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, declined 57.2% year-over-year.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin fell to -41.9%, down sharply from 18.2% in FY2025.
  • Wall Street estimates project an annual loss with an EPS of -$0.02 on $72.8M in revenue for FY2026.

What Energy Recovery does

Energy Recovery, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes specialized solutions for seawater reverse osmosis desalination and industrial wastewater treatment. Through its Water and Emerging Technologies segments, the company supplies energy recovery devices, high-pressure feed and recirculation pumps, hydraulic turbochargers, boosters, and replacement parts under brands such as ERI, Ultra PX, Pressure Exchanger, and VorTeq. It also provides maintenance, field support, and commissioning services. Outside of water infrastructure, Energy Recovery produces technologies engineered to cut energy usage in natural gas processing and carbon dioxide refrigeration systems, selling to engineering and procurement contractors, original equipment manufacturers, and aftermarket operators.

Growth and profitability

From FY2020 to FY2025, Energy Recovery grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 7.9%. Top-line sales increased from $103.9M in FY2021 to a high of $144.9M in FY2024 before contracting 7.1% to $134.7M in FY2025. Gross margin decreased from 68.6% in FY2021 to 65.2% in FY2025, while net margin rose from 13.7% to 17.0%, generating $23.0M in FY2025 net income. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $120.6M with an operating margin of -41.9% and diluted EPS of $0.26. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 57.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 20.1%.

ERII income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Energy Recovery held $93.1M in cash and short-term investments against $8.2M in total debt, leaving net cash of $84.8M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 8.05 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 against $172.5M in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, the company generated $17.4M in free cash flow, funded $1.3M in capital expenditures, and spent $35.6M on share buybacks, which helped lower its share count by 12.0% over five years.

ERII balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at a market cap of $339.4M and enterprise value of $262.3M, Energy Recovery has a trailing P/E of 25.6x and forward P/E of 21.2x. These compare to a trailing P/E of 24.8x and forward P/E of 17.2x for the median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 12.0x sits below the peer median of 13.9x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.8x exceeds the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, ERII fell 60.4%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.

ERII key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage stands at 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy, Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $8.00 implies 20.3% upside compared to the last close of $6.65. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $72.8M and an EPS of -$0.02, representing a 103.5% earnings contraction. The company exceeded EPS expectations in 2 of the past 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

ERII forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Top-line execution remains volatile, as shown by the 57.2% year-over-year revenue drop in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Operating performance has deteriorated to a trailing twelve-month operating margin of -41.9%.
  • Share price momentum is negative, with ERII down 50.7% year-to-date and trading 33.3% below its 200-day average.
  • Short interest represents 7.4% of the float, pointing to elevated skepticism from market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ERII AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ERII income statement, ERII balance sheet, ERII key metrics, ERII analyst forecast, ERII chart. See the ERII stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ERII AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Energy Recovery manufacture?

Energy Recovery produces energy recovery devices, high-pressure pumps, hydraulic turbochargers, and boosters under brands such as ERI, Ultra PX, Pressure Exchanger, and VorTeq. These systems serve seawater reverse osmosis desalination, industrial wastewater treatment, and CO2 refrigeration applications.

Does Energy Recovery pay a dividend?

No, Energy Recovery does not currently pay a dividend. Capital returns have instead focused on share buybacks, which totaled $35.6M in FY2025.

How strong is Energy Recovery's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $93.1M in cash and short-term investments against $8.2M in total debt, creating a net cash balance of $84.8M and a current ratio of 8.05.

What do analysts expect for ERII's FY2026 earnings?

Analysts forecast FY2026 revenue of $72.8M and an EPS of -$0.02, which reflects an estimated 103.5% contraction in earnings compared to the prior year.

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