Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EBSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EBS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (NYSE: EBS) is a life sciences company providing preparedness and response solutions for public health threats, including biodefense vaccines and opioid overdose treatments. While annual revenue declined from $1.77B in FY2021 to $742.9M in FY2025, the company returned to positive net income of $52.6M and generated $156.8M in free cash flow in FY2025. However, net debt stands at $442.1M as of June 30, 2026, and trailing twelve-month net margin remains negative at -23.0%.

Market cap
$327.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$770.2M
P/E
—
fwd 23.0x
1Y return
-32.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$11.00
72.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow turned positive to $156.8M in FY2025 after negative free cash flow of -$257.9M in FY2023.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 66.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.2x, below the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 12.0x.

Bear case

  • Revenue has contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -14.0%, dropping from $1.77B in FY2021 to $742.9M in FY2025.
  • Total debt of $581.8M exceeds cash of $139.7M, leaving a net debt burden of $442.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Trailing twelve-month profit margin is negative at -23.0%, with EPS of -$3.40.

What Emergent BioSolutions does

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. is a life sciences company headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland, focused on preparedness and response solutions for public health threats. Established in 1998, the company addresses accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring incidents involving chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive agents. Its product portfolio includes biodefense products such as BioThrax for anthrax, ACAM2000 for smallpox, Botulism Antitoxin Heptavalent, raxibacumab, Anthrasil, and reactive skin decontamination lotion kits. The company also developed NARCAN nasal spray for emergency treatment of opioid overdoses, along with travel health vaccines Vivotif for typhoid fever and Vaxchora for cholera.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue decreased over several fiscal years, falling from $1.77B in FY2021 to $1.12B in FY2022, $1.05B in FY2023, $1.04B in FY2024, and $742.9M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -14.0%. Despite the 28.8% revenue contraction in FY2025, operating margin improved to 14.8% and net income rebounded to $52.6M, up from a net loss of -$190.6M in FY2024 and -$760.5M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $770.2M with an operating margin of 28.3% and EPS of -$3.40. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 66.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 93.8%.

EBS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Emergent BioSolutions held $139.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $581.8M, resulting in net debt of $442.1M. Shareholders' equity was $341.4M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70 and a current ratio of 5.42. Total assets stood at $1.12B. Operating cash flow improved to $170.6M in FY2025 from $58.7M in FY2024. In FY2025, the company deployed cash toward $13.8M in capital expenditures and $24.9M in share buybacks, delivering $156.8M in free cash flow.

EBS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Emergent BioSolutions carries a market cap of $327.1M and an enterprise value of $784.1M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.2x, both below the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 4.1x and 12.0x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 23.0x sits above the peer group median of 17.3x, alongside a PEG ratio of 0.38 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 32.1%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 87.4% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

EBS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 0 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target is $11.00, which is 72.4% above the last close of $6.38 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $657.1M and EPS of $0.36, representing a 76.5% decline in earnings. For the following fiscal year, one analyst estimates revenue of $703.3M and EPS of $1.05. Emergent BioSolutions beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.

EBS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The balance sheet carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70, with net debt totaling $442.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short interest represents 18.4% of float, indicating elevated negative market positioning.
  • The stock displays elevated market sensitivity with a beta of 2.29, having declined 48.4% year-to-date.
  • Fiscal year 2026 projections call for revenue of $657.1M and a 76.5% decline in EPS to $0.36.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EBS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EBS income statement, EBS balance sheet, EBS key metrics, EBS analyst forecast, EBS chart. See the EBS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EBS AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Emergent BioSolutions manufacture?

The company produces medical countermeasures and vaccines for public health threats, including BioThrax for anthrax, ACAM2000 for smallpox, Botulism Antitoxin Heptavalent, raxibacumab, Anthrasil, and reactive skin decontamination kits. It also produces NARCAN nasal spray for opioid overdoses and travel vaccines Vivotif and Vaxchora.

Does Emergent BioSolutions pay a dividend?

Emergent BioSolutions does not pay a dividend. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $13.8M in capital expenditures and $24.9M in share buybacks.

What is Emergent BioSolutions' debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $139.7M in cash and short-term investments and $581.8M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $442.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.70.

What are analysts forecasting for Emergent BioSolutions' earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.36 on revenue of $657.1M. For the next fiscal year, one analyst forecasts EPS of $1.05 on revenue of $703.3M.

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