Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (DDL) AI Stock Analysis
DDL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDingdong (Cayman) Limited (DDL) operates an e-commerce platform focusing on fresh grocery and food delivery in China. The company produced $24.36B in revenue and $221.7M in net income for FY2025, alongside $348.0M in free cash flow. As of June 30, 2026, its balance sheet holds $1.81B in cash and short-term investments against $68.7M in debt.
- Market cap
- $463.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $18.55B
- P/E
- — fwd 3.3x
- 1Y return
- 16.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $3.39 59.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Dingdong maintains a substantial net cash balance of $1.74B, supported by $1.81B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.3x, well below the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer median of 14.3x.
- The business delivered positive free cash flow of $348.0M and net income of $221.7M during FY2025.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue fell 98.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company's common share count increased 50.2% over the past 5 years.
- Over a 5-year span, the stock fell 91.5%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Dingdong does
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited operates Dingdong Fresh, an e-commerce platform founded in 2017 and headquartered in Shanghai, China. The company focuses on online retail operations specializing in fresh produce, meat, seafood, prepared foods, and general groceries such as dairy, bakery products, snacks, oils, seasonings, and beverages. Dingdong utilizes a self-operated business model designed to maintain direct control over freshness, product sourcing, handling, and delivery. Supported by a logistics network and technology integration, the business aims to serve online shoppers across China with competitive pricing and regular promotions.
Growth and profitability
Dingdong expanded revenue at a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 16.5% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $20.12B in FY2021 to $24.22B in FY2022, fell 17.5% in FY2023 to $19.97B, and rose to $23.07B in FY2024 and $24.36B in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 20.1% in FY2021 to 29.2% in FY2025, while operating margin improved from -31.5% to 0.5%. Net income swung from -$6.43B in FY2021 to $295.1M in FY2024 and $221.7M in FY2025. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 98.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 167.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Dingdong held $1.81B in cash and short-term investments alongside $68.7M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $1.74B. Shareholders' equity was $1.42B, backed by total assets of $8.21B, a current ratio of 1.23, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $520.9M, which funded capital expenditures of $172.9M and yielded free cash flow of $348.0M. The company also spent $8.6M on share buybacks in FY2025, though its share count increased 50.2% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
With a market cap of $463.6M and enterprise value of $238.3M, Dingdong trades at a forward P/E of 3.3x, compared to 14.3x for the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6x is below the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 0.0x versus the peer median of 0.7x. The company trades at a price-to-book ratio of 2.3x. Over the past year, DDL stock gained 16.5%, closely tracking the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock fell 91.5%, while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Dingdong carries 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, and 0 Hold or Sell ratings from analysts. The mean price target is $3.39, representing 59.9% upside relative to the last close of $2.12 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.04, reflecting 129.2% growth. For the subsequent fiscal year, 1 analyst forecasts revenue of $30.80B and EPS of $2.48. Dingdong has beaten EPS estimates in 4 of its last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at -96.2%, reflecting severe pressure on operational profitability.
- Quarterly revenue fell 98.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, indicating extreme top-line contraction.
- The stock is down 14.9% year-to-date and trades 14.7% below its 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DDL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (DDL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DDL income statement, DDL analyst forecast, DDL chart. See the DDL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DDL AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Dingdong (Cayman) Limited do?
Dingdong is an online retail platform in China operating Dingdong Fresh, which provides direct-to-consumer delivery of fresh produce, meat, seafood, prepared foods, and everyday grocery items.
What is Dingdong's financial position regarding cash and debt?
As of June 30, 2026, Dingdong held $1.81B in cash and short-term investments and $68.7M in total debt, providing a net cash position of $1.74B.
How does Dingdong's valuation compare to its industry peers?
Dingdong trades at a forward P/E of 3.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 7.6x, both below the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer medians of 14.3x and 11.7x.
Does Dingdong pay a dividend?
Dingdong does not pay a dividend.
When is Dingdong scheduled to report earnings next?
The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 11, 2026.