Constellium SE (CSTM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CSTMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CSTM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Constellium SE is an aluminum manufacturer specializing in specialty rolled and extruded products for packaging, aerospace, and automotive markets. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $9.58B in revenue with an operating margin of 8.9%. Its shares trade at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 6.6x following a 1-year return of 64.4%.

Market cap
$3.45B
Revenue (TTM)
$9.58B
P/E
6.6x
fwd 8.2x
1Y return
64.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$33.75
32.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 30.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings surged 316.0% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Trailing twelve-month return on equity reached 53.1%, paired with an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.2x that sits well below the peer median of 10.5x.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $33.75, indicating a 32.5% upside from the recent close of $25.47.

Bear case

  • Consensus estimates for the next fiscal year forecast an EPS decline of 25.8% to $2.62.
  • The balance sheet carries $1.92B in total debt against $163.0M in cash, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54.
  • The stock has shown elevated volatility, marked by a beta of 1.57 and a recent level 8.2% below its 200-day moving average.

What Constellium does

Constellium SE designs, manufactures, and distributes specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products across three key segments. Its Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products segment produces aluminum solutions for beverage and food packaging, including can stock and foil stock, as well as automotive body sheets and heat exchangers. The Aerospace & Transportation segment delivers rolled plates, sheets, and extrusions for aerospace applications such as wing skins, alongside defense and transportation sectors. The Automotive Structures & Industry segment manufactures extruded components and crash-management systems, battery enclosures, body structures, and varied alloy profiles for engineering and rail industries.

Growth and profitability

Constellium expanded revenue from $6.97B in FY2021 to $8.45B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.6%. After revenue fell 10.3% in FY2023 and 0.4% in FY2024, FY2025 revenue rebounded 19.3%, while net income rose to $273.0M from $54.1M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $9.58B with a profit margin of 5.7% and diluted EPS of $3.87. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 30.7% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 316.0% year-over-year.

CSTM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Constellium held $163.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.92B, resulting in net debt of $1.76B. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.25B, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, alongside a current ratio of 1.43. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $488.9M, funding capital expenditures of $329.9M and yielding free cash flow of $159.0M. The company also allocated $115.0M to share buybacks in FY2025, lowering its 5-year share count by 4.8%.

CSTM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $25.47 per share, Constellium holds a market capitalization of $3.45B and an enterprise value of $5.14B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 4.2x, below the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 10.5x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.4x compared to the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, CSTM generated a 64.4% return, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 33.1% trails the index return of 83.0%.

CSTM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $33.75, representing a 32.5% premium to the last close of $25.47. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $8.93B and EPS of $3.53, reflecting 141.7% earnings growth. For the next fiscal year, consensus projects revenue of $8.99B and EPS of $2.62. The company has beaten EPS expectations in all 4 of its last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.

CSTM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow has fluctuated significantly, moving from negative $108.2M in FY2024 to $159.0M in FY2025.
  • Net debt of $1.76B on shareholders' equity of $1.25B requires steady operating cash flow to service obligations.
  • Revenue growth has experienced historical cyclicality, including a 10.3% contraction in FY2023 followed by a 0.4% decline in FY2024.
  • A beta of 1.57 highlights that the share price experiences wider swings than the broader market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CSTM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Constellium SE (CSTM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CSTM income statement, CSTM balance sheet, CSTM key metrics, CSTM analyst forecast, CSTM chart. See the CSTM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CSTM AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Constellium SE do?

Constellium SE designs, develops, and manufactures specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products. It serves the packaging, automotive, aerospace, rail, and industrial sectors.

What is Constellium's valuation compared to basic materials peers?

Constellium trades at a trailing P/E of 6.6x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 4.2x. Both metrics are lower than the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers, which stand at 19.7x and 10.5x, respectively.

Does Constellium SE pay a dividend?

Constellium SE does not currently report dividend payments. The company utilized $115.0M for share buybacks in FY2025.

When is Constellium's next earnings report?

Constellium is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 28, 2026.

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