Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) AI Stock Analysis
COLL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCollegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on pain management therapies, including Xtampza ER and Nucynta. The company generated $808.2M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but faces high leverage with $857.8M in total debt. Its stock has experienced a sharp pullback, falling 49.9% year-to-date.
- Market cap
- $755.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $808.2M
- P/E
- 18.3x fwd 3.4x
- 1Y return
- -30.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $49.00 111.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow reached $327.6M in FY2025, supporting ongoing operations and capital return.
- Forward P/E of 3.4x trades at a substantial discount compared to the US-listed Healthcare median of 17.3x.
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $49.00 implies 111.3% upside from the recent price of $23.19.
Bear case
- Total debt of $857.8M significantly exceeds cash of $129.5M, leaving net debt at $728.3M.
- Quarterly earnings fell 46.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock has dropped 49.9% year-to-date and sits 32.6% below its 200-day moving average.
What Collegium Pharmaceutical does
Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a specialized pharmaceutical company dedicated to advancing medications tailored for effective pain management. At the core of its product portfolio is Xtampza ER, an abuse-deterrent formulation of extended-release oxycodone designed to provide consistent pain relief while deterring misuse. In addition, the company offers Nucynta ER and Nucynta IR, which are tapentadol formulations catering to extended-release and immediate-release pain management needs. Founded in 2002 and based in Stoughton, Massachusetts, the company focuses on developing and commercializing advanced pain therapies that address chronic pain while prioritizing patient safety through abuse-deterrent formulations.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 20.3% from FY2020 through FY2025, rising from $276.9M in FY2021 to $780.6M in FY2025. Annual net income reached $62.9M in FY2025, following $69.2M in FY2024 and $48.2M in FY2023, while gross margin remained steady at 59.3%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $808.2M with an operating margin of 5.7% and a profit margin of 5.9%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 6.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 46.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Collegium Pharmaceutical held $129.5M in cash and short-term investments against $857.8M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $728.3M. Total assets stood at $2.14B against shareholders' equity of $311.9M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75 and a current ratio of 1.03. Cash generation remained strong in FY2025, with operating cash flow of $329.3M and free cash flow of $327.6M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.7M in capital expenditures and $25.1M deployed into share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -4.9%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $23.19, Collegium Pharmaceutical trades at a market capitalization of $755.0M and an enterprise value of $1.70B. Its trailing P/E of 18.3x and forward P/E of 3.4x sit below the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers (24.6x trailing and 17.3x forward). The stock's price-to-sales of 0.9x and EV-to-EBITDA of 4.4x are also below peer medians of 4.1x and 12.0x, respectively. Over the past year, the stock fell 30.2%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $49.00, representing an upside of 111.3% over the last close of $23.19. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $833.1M and EPS of $7.46. Collegium Pharmaceutical beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75 highlights substantial balance sheet leverage relative to $311.9M in equity.
- Short interest stands at 20.2% of float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.
- Next fiscal year estimates call for an EPS decline of 2.7% to $7.26 on modest revenue growth of 1.4%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this COLL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: COLL income statement, COLL balance sheet, COLL key metrics, COLL analyst forecast, COLL chart. See the COLL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
COLL AI stock analysis FAQ
What products generate revenue for Collegium Pharmaceutical?
Collegium Pharmaceutical focuses on pain management therapies. Its core commercial products include Xtampza ER, an abuse-deterrent extended-release oxycodone, alongside Nucynta ER and Nucynta IR formulations of tapentadol.
How much debt does Collegium Pharmaceutical carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $857.8M in total debt against $129.5M in cash and short-term investments, which results in net debt of $728.3M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75.
Does Collegium Pharmaceutical pay a dividend?
Collegium Pharmaceutical does not pay a dividend. It allocated cash to $25.1M in share buybacks and $1.7M in capital expenditures in FY2025.
When is the next earnings report for COLL?
Collegium Pharmaceutical is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 5, 2026.