CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) AI Stock Analysis
CMS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCMS Energy Corporation is a Michigan-focused regulated electric and natural gas utility holding company. For FY2025, the company delivered $8.54B in revenue with diluted EPS of $3.61, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.9%. Its capital program has resulted in negative free cash flow, including -$1.59B in FY2025 alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97.
- Market cap
- $21.54B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.81B
- P/E
- 20.6x fwd 15.2x
- 1Y return
- -5.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $76.08 10.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue reached $8.54B in FY2025 with gross margins expanding to 60.9% and operating margins reaching 20.2%.
- CMS Energy trades below its S&P 500 Utilities peer medians on forward P/E (15.2x vs. 16.0x) and EV/EBITDA (11.8x vs. 12.2x).
- The company has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years, growing the payout at a 5.9% 5-year annualized rate with a forward yield of 3.32%.
Bear case
- Substantial capital expenditures of $3.82B in FY2025 drove free cash flow to -$1.59B, continuing a multi-year negative free cash flow trend.
- The balance sheet carries $19.30B in total debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97, along with a current ratio of 0.92 as of June 30, 2026.
- Quarterly earnings fell 43.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while revenue slipped 0.5%.
What CMS Energy does
CMS Energy Corporation provides energy services primarily in Michigan through three segments: Electric Utility, Gas Utility, and Enterprises. The Electric Utility generates, transmits, distributes, and retails electricity using coal, wind, natural gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear power across more than 82,000 miles of electric distribution lines, serving over 1.9 million electric customers. The Gas Utility procures, transmits, stores, and distributes natural gas across transmission lines, storage fields, distribution mains, and compressor stations to over 1.8 million gas customers. The Enterprises segment focuses on independent power production, marketing, and the development and operation of renewable energy generation.
Growth and profitability
CMS Energy's revenue rose from $7.33B in FY2021 to $8.54B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 5.9%. Annual revenue growth was 14.2% in FY2021, 17.3% in FY2022, -13.2% in FY2023, 0.7% in FY2024, and 13.6% in FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 60.9% in FY2025 from 36.1% in FY2021, while operating margin rose to 20.2%. Net income reached $1.07B in FY2025, or $3.61 per share. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $8.81B with an operating margin of 17.2%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 0.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings dropped 43.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, CMS Energy held $241.0M in cash and short-term investments against $19.30B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $19.06B. Shareholders' equity was $9.77B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97 and a current ratio of 0.92. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated $2.23B, while capital expenditures totaled $3.82B, leading to free cash flow of -$1.59B. The company funded capital needs partly through $525.0M of share issuance, while paying $663.0M in dividends.
Valuation and performance
CMS Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 20.6x and a forward P/E of 15.2x, compared with the median of its S&P 500 Utilities peers of 21.0x and 16.0x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.4x versus the peer median of 2.9x, and EV/EBITDA is 11.8x versus the peer median of 12.2x. Over the past year, CMS returned -5.2%, lagging the SPY return of 16.8%. Over five years, CMS returned 33.1% compared to 83.0% for SPY.
CMS dividend
CMS Energy pays a forward annual dividend of $2.28 per share, representing a 3.32% dividend yield based on its last close of $68.70. The dividend has been paid for 20 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.9%. Its payout ratio is 66.6%. The last ex-dividend date was August 7, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts have 4 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings on CMS Energy, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $76.08 implies upside of 10.7% from the last close of $68.70. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.87 on revenue of $8.96B. For the next fiscal year, 15 analysts project EPS of $4.15 and revenue of $9.39B. CMS beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $19.30B against $241.0M of cash leaves little liquid cushion as the company maintains a current ratio of 0.92.
- Free cash flow has remained negative from FY2021 through FY2025, reaching -$1.59B in FY2025 due to ongoing capital expenditure requirements.
- Recent operational performance showed a 43.9% year-over-year contraction in quarterly earnings for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CMS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of CMS Energy Corporation (CMS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CMS income statement, CMS balance sheet, CMS key metrics, CMS analyst forecast, CMS chart. See the CMS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CMS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is CMS Energy's dividend yield and payout ratio?
CMS Energy pays a forward annual dividend of $2.28 per share, which represents a 3.32% dividend yield. Its dividend payout ratio stands at 66.6%.
How much debt does CMS Energy carry?
As of June 30, 2026, CMS Energy had $19.30B in total debt and $241.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $19.06B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97.
What are analysts forecasting for CMS Energy's earnings and revenue?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.87 on revenue of $8.96B. For the following fiscal year, consensus estimates predict EPS of $4.15 and revenue of $9.39B.
When is CMS Energy's next earnings report?
CMS Energy is scheduled to release its next earnings report on October 27, 2026.
More Utilities AI stock analysis
- KEPKorea Electric Power
- EDNEmpresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima
- CEPUCentral Puerto
- CIG.CEnergy of Minas Gerais Co DRC
- CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais
- DUKDuke Energy
- SOMNSouthern
- SOSouthern Company
- NEENextEra Energy
- ELPCCompanhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL
- PCGPG&E
- EXCExelon