Exelon Corporation (EXC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: EXCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EXC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a major regulated electric and natural gas utility holding company based in Chicago. Across the trailing twelve months, the company generated $25.33B in revenue with a net profit margin of 11.0%. While operating earnings have steadily risen to $2.77B in FY2025, capital expenditures of $8.53B contributed to negative free cash flow of -$2.27B.

Market cap
$44.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$25.33B
P/E
16.0x
fwd 13.7x
1Y return
-4.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$48.81
12.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow reached $6.25B in FY2025, supporting consistent earnings growth to $2.77B in net income.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted against peers, with a forward P/E of 13.7x compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers of 17.2x.
  • Shareholders receive a 3.86% dividend yield backed by 54 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Bear case

  • High capital intensity resulted in negative free cash flow of -$2.27B in FY2025 alongside capital expenditures of $8.53B.
  • Balance sheet leverage is elevated with total debt of $52.28B and net debt of $51.03B against $1.25B in cash.
  • Exelon shares delivered a 1-year return of -4.8%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.

What Exelon does

Exelon Corporation is a utility services holding company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, specializing in energy generation, delivery, and marketing throughout the United States and Canada. Its generation assets span nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power facilities. Exelon supplies wholesale and retail customers with electricity, natural gas, and renewable energy products. The company also operates regulated retail sales along with electricity and natural gas transmission and distribution networks for residential, commercial, and industrial consumers. Additionally, Exelon provides support services including information technology, legal, human resources, and financial management to sustain its infrastructure operations.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Exelon increased annual revenue from $17.94B to $24.26B, including 5.3% top-line growth in FY2025. Over the same span, net income expanded from $1.71B to $2.77B, lifting diluted EPS from $2.82 in FY2021 to $2.76 in FY2025 following a dip to $2.26 in FY2022. Operating margins improved from 15.0% in FY2021 to 21.2% in FY2025, though gross margin contracted to 27.9%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $25.33B with an operating margin of 16.6%. In the latest quarter, revenue rose 9.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 0.2%.

EXC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Exelon held $1.25B in cash and short-term investments against $52.28B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $51.03B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76. Total assets stood at $120.50B versus $29.70B in shareholders' equity, with a current ratio of 1.00. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $6.25B, but capital expenditures of $8.53B led to free cash flow of -$2.27B. The company allocated $1.62B to dividends paid in FY2025, and its share count expanded 4.9% over five years.

EXC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Exelon trades at a trailing P/E of 16.0x and a forward P/E of 13.7x, both below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers at 22.0x and 17.2x. Its price-to-sales of 1.8x and EV/EBITDA of 9.9x also sit below the peer medians of 3.1x and 12.6x. Over the past year, Exelon shares delivered a return of -4.8%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 46.3% compared to 83.0% for SPY.

EXC key metrics →

EXC dividend

Exelon offers an annual forward dividend of $1.68 per share, representing a 3.86% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 59.5%. Distributions are paid quarterly, and the company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years. Over the trailing five years, its dividend grew at an annualized rate of 7.9%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on September 4, 2026.

EXC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 15 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $48.81 sits 12.2% above the last close of $43.50. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.86 on revenue of $25.54B. For FY2027, 19 analysts project EPS of $3.04 on revenue of $26.33B. Exelon beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 30, 2026.

EXC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Debt obligations are significant, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76 and $52.28B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow has remained negative over five consecutive years, including -$1.53B in FY2024 and -$2.27B in FY2025.
  • Gross margin compressed from 40.8% in FY2024 to 27.9% in FY2025, creating potential sensitivity to operating costs.
  • Quarterly earnings growth was -0.2% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reflecting flat short-term net profit momentum.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EXC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Exelon Corporation (EXC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EXC income statement, EXC balance sheet, EXC key metrics, EXC analyst forecast, EXC chart. See the EXC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EXC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Exelon's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Exelon pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.68 annually, which represents a 3.86% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 59.5%, and the company has paid dividends for 54 consecutive years.

How does Exelon's valuation compare to its peers?

Exelon trades at a trailing P/E of 16.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 9.9x. Both multiples trade at a discount to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers, which stand at 22.0x and 12.6x, respectively.

What are analysts forecasting for Exelon's upcoming earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.86 on revenue of $25.54B. The mean price target of $48.81 represents 12.2% upside over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $43.50.

How much debt does Exelon hold?

As of June 30, 2026, Exelon held $52.28B in total debt and $1.25B in cash and short-term investments, producing net debt of $51.03B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76.

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