The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CHEFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CHEF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a specialty food distributor catering to restaurants, hotels, and culinary establishments throughout the United States and Canada. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $4.39B, with quarterly earnings expanding 55.5% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026. The stock closed at $113.57 after recording a 1-year return of 96.6%.

Market cap
$4.63B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.39B
P/E
54.1x
fwd 25.6x
1Y return
96.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$124.00
9.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 55.5% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026, supported by 12.9% revenue growth.
  • Annual net income increased from $27.8M in FY2022 to $72.4M in FY2025 as gross margin reached 24.2%.
  • The company demonstrated consistent execution by beating consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

Bear case

  • CHEF trades at a trailing P/E of 54.1x, representing a significant premium over the US-listed Consumer Defensive median of 18.6x.
  • Total debt stood at $946.6M against cash of $135.5M as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46.
  • Short interest represents a notable portion of trading with short percent of float at 13.0%.

What Chefs' Warehouse does

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. distributes specialty food products across the United States and Canada. Founded in 1985 and located in Ridgefield, Connecticut, the company provides a catalog of over 50,000 stock-keeping units. Offerings range from specialty cheeses, artisan charcuterie, caviar, truffles, and chocolates to center-of-the-plate items such as custom-cut beef, sustainable seafood, and hormone-free poultry, along with culinary staples like butter, eggs, and flour. Its customer base consists primarily of menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining venues, country clubs, hotels, caterers, bakeries, and cruise lines, supplemented by direct consumer sales through e-commerce and mail orders.

Growth and profitability

Revenue rose steadily from $1.75B in FY2021 to $2.61B in FY2022, $3.43B in FY2023, $3.79B in FY2024, and $4.15B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.1% from FY2020. Over the same timeline, net income transitioned from a net loss of $4.9M in FY2021 to profits of $27.8M in FY2022, $34.6M in FY2023, $55.5M in FY2024, and $72.4M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 22.4% in FY2021 to 24.2% in FY2025, while operating margin improved from 0.6% to 3.7%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue increased 12.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 55.5%.

CHEF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $135.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $946.6M, resulting in net debt of $811.1M. Shareholders' equity totaled $648.2M, with a current ratio of 2.15 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $129.2M and free cash flow stood at $87.8M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $41.4M spent on capital expenditures and $15.0M deployed into share buybacks.

CHEF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $113.57, The Chefs' Warehouse trades at a trailing P/E of 54.1x and a forward P/E of 25.6x, compared to medians of 18.6x and 14.3x for its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its enterprise value of $5.25B equates to an EV/EBITDA multiple of 20.5x, above the peer median of 11.7x. The company's 1-year stock return of 96.6% outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 237.3% compared to 83.0% for the index.

CHEF key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 7 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating on the stock, with 0 Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $124.00, which is 9.2% above the last close of $113.57. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.58B and EPS of $2.54, implying 33.7% earnings growth. The company has surpassed EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings next on October 28, 2026.

CHEF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A net debt position of $811.1M leaves the company vulnerable to credit pressures if operating cash flow falls below the $129.2M generated in FY2025.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.44, indicating higher volatility than the broader equity market.
  • A trailing twelve months profit margin of 2.1% leaves little cushion against potential food cost inflation or operating expense increases.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CHEF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CHEF income statement, CHEF balance sheet, CHEF key metrics, CHEF analyst forecast, CHEF chart. See the CHEF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CHEF AI stock analysis FAQ

Does The Chefs' Warehouse pay a dividend?

The Chefs' Warehouse does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, cash return to shareholders occurred via $15.0M in share buybacks alongside $41.4M in capital expenditures.

How does CHEF's valuation compare to industry peers?

CHEF trades at a trailing P/E of 54.1x and forward P/E of 25.6x, compared to the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer medians of 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 20.5x also trades above the peer median of 11.7x.

When is the next earnings release for CHEF?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate EPS of $2.54 on revenue of $4.58B.

What is The Chefs' Warehouse's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $946.6M in total debt and $135.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $811.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46.

More Consumer Defensive AI stock analysis