Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) AI Stock Analysis

Centerra Gold Inc. is a Toronto-based gold mining company established in 2002 that operates in North America, Turkey, and other international jurisdictions. The company acquires, explores, develops, and operates gold and copper properties, while also exploring for molybdenum resources. Centerra Gold wholly owns and operates the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia, Canada, which serves as its flagship producing asset. It also operates the Öksüt Gold Mine located in Turkey, supporting its geographic diversification and ongoing mineral extraction.

Centerra Gold achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $900.1M in FY2021 to $1.38B in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 37.1% in FY2021 and -4.3% in FY2022 to 22.7% in FY2025. Net income transitioned from -$381.8M in FY2021 and -$77.2M in FY2022 to $80.4M in FY2024 and $584.0M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.72B with an operating margin of 27.2% and EPS of $3.15. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 53.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 9.7%.

As of June 30, 2026, Centerra Gold held $457.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $45.8M, resulting in a net cash position of $411.4M. Its current ratio was 2.42 and debt-to-equity was 0.02. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $352.7M and free cash flow reached $94.6M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $258.1M in capital expenditures, $95.3M in share buybacks, and $41.8M in dividends paid, alongside a 5-year share count change of -32.4%.

Centerra Gold trades at a trailing P/E of 7.0x and a forward P/E of 12.6x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The company has an EV to EBITDA multiple of 4.0x, below the peer median of 10.5x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.5x versus the peer median of 1.8x. At its last close of $22.05 on October 16, 2026, Centerra Gold had a 1-year return of 76.0% and a 5-year return of 230.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same intervals.

Centerra Gold pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual dividend of $0.20, representing a dividend yield of 0.91%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 12.9% and has paid dividends for 7 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.

Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $16.00 sits 27.4% below the last close of $22.05. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.74B and EPS of $1.58, reflecting 42.0% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts expect revenue of $1.63B and EPS of $2.02. Centerra Gold has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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