The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) AI Stock Analysis

The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment firm operating across four main segments: Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions. Founded in 1987 and based in Washington, D.C., the firm executes management-led buyouts, leveraged buyouts, privatizations, strategic minority equity investments, structured credit, distressed opportunities, and various debt and venture financing solutions. Carlyle invests across multiple sectors, including industrials, agribusiness, fintech, healthcare, aerospace, defense, consumer retail, telecommunications, media, and real estate. The firm often targets businesses with strong growth prospects or overleveraged capital structures that need operational and strategic restructuring, maintaining an investment network spanning 21 countries.

Carlyle generated $2.80B in revenue over the trailing twelve months, producing a profit margin of 13.0% and an operating margin of 26.9%. Annual top-line performance has fluctuated widely, moving from $5.82B in FY2021 down to $1.87B in FY2023, before rebounding to $4.09B in FY2024 and $4.90B in FY2025. In FY2025, revenue grew 19.8% while net income reached $808.7M, alongside free cash flow of $1.36B. However, recent performance has weakened, as the quarter ended June 30, 2026 recorded a 32.9% year-over-year decline in revenue and a 57.5% contraction in quarterly earnings. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 18.1%.

As of June 30, 2026, Carlyle held $2.04B in cash and short-term investments against $14.25B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $12.21B. The balance sheet shows shareholders' equity of $7.21B, translating to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98, while the current ratio stands at 0.61. During FY2025, the firm generated $1.46B in operating cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $99.4M in capital expenditures, $686.5M directed toward share buybacks, and $505.1M in dividends paid, with share count increasing 3.3% over the prior five years.

At $36.38 per share, Carlyle carries a market capitalization of $12.96B and an enterprise value of $27.15B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 37.5x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. In contrast, its forward P/E of 7.6x sits below the peer median of 10.8x, supported by a PEG ratio of 0.65. The company's EV/EBITDA multiple is 9.1x compared to the sector peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, Carlyle shares fell 34.4%, lagging the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.

Carlyle pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.40 per share, representing a 3.85% dividend yield at the last close of $36.38. The payout ratio stands at 35.6%, and the company has distributed dividends for 15 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 7.0%, with the last ex-dividend date occurring on August 17, 2026.

Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $52.21, representing an upside of 43.5% from the last close of $36.38. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate revenue of $3.65B and EPS of $3.54, reflecting an EPS decline of 11.9%. Projections for FY2027 point to revenue of $4.75B and EPS of $4.98. Over the last four quarters, the company met or exceeded EPS estimates twice, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 5, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CG income statement, CG balance sheet, CG key metrics, CG analyst forecast, CG chart. See the CG stock overview for the latest quote and news.