Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) (CART) AI Stock Analysis
CART AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchInstacart (Maplebear Inc.) operates a leading online grocery shopping and delivery platform across North America. The company produced $3.74B in FY2025 revenue along with $911.0M in free cash flow, supported by a healthy balance sheet holding $816.0M in net cash as of June 30, 2026. Its forward P/E stands at 13.0x, alongside a 1-year stock return of 27.8%.
- Market cap
- $11.83B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.99B
- P/E
- 27.2x fwd 13.0x
- 1Y return
- 27.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $57.90 16.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Instacart generated free cash flow of $911.0M in FY2025, up from $623.0M in FY2024.
- The company maintains a strong liquidity cushion with $816.0M in net cash and just $34.0M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts project forward EPS to expand 44.5% to $2.31 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Bear case
- Instacart has beaten consensus earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Short interest represents a significant 14.4% of the float.
- Valuation is elevated on sales, with a price-to-sales multiple of 3.0x compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 0.7x.
What Instacart does
Instacart, operating as Maplebear Inc., provides online grocery shopping services across North America. Through its mobile application and website, the platform connects consumers with personal shoppers who fulfill orders for groceries, alcohol, consumer health products, pet care essentials, and ready-made meals. Founded in 2012 and based in San Francisco, California, the company operates an agile business model and logistics network to deliver household goods. Instacart partners with leading retailers to serve as a digital intermediary connecting retail stores and households across North America.
Growth and profitability
Instacart grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 20.4% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching $3.74B in FY2025 with 10.8% annual growth. Gross margin reached 73.7% in FY2025, compared to 66.8% in FY2021 and 75.3% in FY2024. After a net loss of -$1.62B in FY2023 driven by $2.31B in research and development expenses, net income rebounded to $457.0M in FY2024 and stood at $447.0M in FY2025. Operating margin was 13.3% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $3.99B with a profit margin of 12.0%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 14.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 8.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Instacart held $850.0M in cash and short-term investments against $34.0M in total debt, yielding net cash of $816.0M. The company maintains a current ratio of 2.28 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 on $2.32B of shareholders' equity. For FY2025, operating cash flow reached $971.0M and free cash flow was $911.0M, supporting $61.0M in capital expenditures. Instacart also directed $1.39B toward share buybacks during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
Instacart trades at a trailing P/E of 27.2x, which is above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x. However, its forward P/E of 13.0x is below the peer median of 14.1x. The company commands a price-to-sales ratio of 3.0x, higher than the peer median of 0.7x, and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 12.9x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, CART delivered a return of 27.8%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 13 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 15 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $57.90 sits 16.2% above the last close of $49.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.31 on revenue of $4.26B. For the following fiscal year, 31 analysts project EPS of $2.91 on revenue of $4.71B. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue growth moderated from 39.1% in FY2022 to 10.8% in FY2025, signaling potential deceleration in core delivery expansion.
- The company allocated $1.39B to share buybacks in FY2025, exceeding that year's free cash flow of $911.0M.
- Historical earnings show volatility, including a net loss of -$1.62B in FY2023 following a $2.31B research and development expenditure.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CART AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) (CART). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CART income statement, CART balance sheet, CART key metrics, CART analyst forecast, CART chart. See the CART stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CART AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Instacart do?
Instacart connects consumers across North America with personal shoppers to order and receive groceries, alcohol, health items, pet supplies, and ready-made meals from retail partners.
Does CART pay a dividend?
Instacart does not pay a dividend, prioritizing capital allocation toward share buybacks, which reached $1.39B in FY2025.
When does Instacart report earnings next?
Instacart's next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
What is Instacart's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Instacart held $850.0M in cash and short-term investments against $34.0M in total debt, giving it net cash of $816.0M.