CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CARGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CARG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

CarGurus, Inc. (CARG) operates an online automotive marketplace connecting car buyers and sellers in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $967.3M in revenue with an operating margin of 25.3% and net income of $155.9M in FY2025. Despite quarterly revenue growth of 13.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter, CARG shares are down 21.0% year-to-date.

Market cap
$2.70B
Revenue (TTM)
$967.3M
P/E
16.1x
fwd 8.5x
1Y return
-14.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$41.27
36.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow reached $288.9M in FY2025, supporting $351.9M in share repurchases that reduced the share count by 22.6% over five years.
  • Gross margin reached 89.0% in FY2025, up from 39.7% in FY2022, driving trailing twelve-month operating margin to 25.3%.
  • Wall Street analysts project EPS will rise 18.0% to $2.62 in FY2026, leaving the stock trading at a forward P/E of 8.5x.

Bear case

  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 18.2%.
  • CarGurus carries net debt of $63.0M as of June 30, 2026, with cash of $122.1M outweighed by $185.1M in total debt.
  • The stock has lagged broader equities, falling 14.1% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What CarGurus does

CarGurus, Inc. operates an online automotive marketplace that serves as a hub for connecting buyers and sellers of both new and used cars across the United States and globally. The platform enables consumers to browse extensive dealer vehicle listings and allows individuals to sell their vehicles directly. By leveraging technology and data-driven insights, CarGurus provides transparent automotive pricing information. Beyond the United States, it operates flagship marketplace platforms in Canada and the United Kingdom, alongside standalone online marketplaces such as Autolist in the United States and PistonHeads in the United Kingdom.

Growth and profitability

CarGurus grew revenue at an 11.2% CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $951.4M in FY2021 to $1.66B in FY2022, before dropping to $914.2M in FY2023 and $894.4M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 5.0% to $939.0M, while gross margin expanded to 89.0% and operating margin rose to 20.7%, resulting in net income of $155.9M and EPS of $2.13. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $967.3M with an operating margin of 25.3% and EPS of $1.88. For the quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue grew 13.1% year-over-year, and earnings surged 141.0%.

CARG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, CarGurus held $122.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $185.1M, yielding net debt of $63.0M. The company had a current ratio of 1.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70 on shareholders' equity of $264.4M. In FY2025, CarGurus generated $295.3M in operating cash flow and $288.9M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $6.4M, while share buybacks reached $351.9M. Over the past five years, the total share count declined by 22.6%.

CARG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CarGurus trades at a forward P/E of 8.5x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 9.7x, compared to the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers of 14.1x and 10.0x, respectively. Its trailing P/E of 16.1x aligns closely with the peer median of 16.2x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.8x sits above the peer median of 0.8x. Over the past year, the stock declined 14.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over a five-year span, the stock fell 12.6% while the S&P 500 returned 83.0%.

CARG key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 6 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings on CarGurus, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $41.27, representing a 36.3% premium over the last close of $30.28. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.01B and EPS of $2.62, representing projected EPS growth of 18.0%. For the next fiscal year, consensus models revenue of $1.11B and EPS of $3.02. CarGurus beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

CARG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Historical revenue volatility remains visible following the 44.8% drop in FY2023 revenue to $914.2M.
  • The stock carries elevated market volatility, with a beta of 1.22 and a 21.0% YTD decline.
  • Liquidity demands from share buybacks ($351.9M in FY2025) significantly exceeded annual free cash flow of $288.9M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CARG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of CarGurus, Inc. (CARG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CARG income statement, CARG balance sheet, CARG key metrics, CARG analyst forecast, CARG chart. See the CARG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CARG AI stock analysis FAQ

Does CarGurus pay a dividend?

No, CarGurus does not currently pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward share buybacks, repurchasing $351.9M of stock in FY2025.

What is CarGurus' net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, CarGurus held $122.1M in cash and short-term investments and $185.1M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $63.0M.

What are analysts expecting for CarGurus' full-year earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate CarGurus will generate EPS of $2.62 on revenue of $1.01B.

How has CARG stock performed against the broader market?

Over the past year, CARG declined 14.1% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500. Over five years, CARG fell 12.6% while the S&P 500 returned 83.0%.

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