Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) AI Stock Analysis
BTU AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPeabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is a global coal producer serving electric utilities and steel manufacturers with thermal and metallurgical coal. After peaking in FY2022 at $4.98B, revenue fell to $3.86B in FY2025, swinging net income to -$52.9M. Despite trailing losses, the company maintains a net cash position of $101.4M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.91B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.01B
- P/E
- — fwd 19.1x
- 1Y return
- -27.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $30.75 28.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $30.75, which sits 28.7% above the last closing price of $23.89.
- The balance sheet maintains net cash of $101.4M with $526.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow generation remained positive at $528.3M in FY2025 despite an annual net loss of -$52.9M.
Bear case
- Annual revenue has declined for three consecutive years, falling from $4.98B in FY2022 to $3.86B in FY2025.
- Trailing-twelve-month profitability is negative, with an operating margin of -9.5% and diluted EPS of -$1.49.
- The stock has underperformed the broader market, returning -27.1% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
What Peabody Energy does
Peabody Energy Corporation, based in St. Louis, Missouri, operates in the global coal mining industry across the United States, Australia, Asia, and other international markets. Its operations are organized into Seaborne Thermal Mining, Seaborne Metallurgical Mining, Powder River Basin Mining, and Other U.S. Thermal Mining. The company extracts, prepares, and markets thermal coal for electric utilities, as well as bituminous, sub-bituminous, and metallurgical coal products for steel manufacturers and industrial facilities. As of December 31, 2021, Peabody held interests in 17 coal mining operations with approximately 2.5 billion tons of proven and probable coal reserves, alongside coal and freight trading and transportation services.
Growth and profitability
Over the five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, Peabody achieved a revenue compound annual growth rate of 6.0%. Annual revenue peaked in FY2022 at $4.98B with gross margin at 33.9% and net income of $1.30B, but contracted to $4.24B in FY2024 and $3.86B in FY2025. In FY2025, gross margin fell to 2.7%, operating margin reached 0.0%, and net income declined to -$52.9M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $4.01B with an operating margin of -9.5% and a net margin of -4.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 12.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted 62.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Peabody reported $526.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $424.9M, resulting in net cash of $101.4M. Shareholders' equity stood at $3.25B with total assets of $5.45B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 and a current ratio of 2.01. In FY2025, the company generated $949.7M in operating cash flow and $528.3M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $421.4M, while capital return included $36.5M in dividends paid and $800,000 in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At $23.89, Peabody carries a market capitalization of $2.91B and an enterprise value of $3.12B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 19.1x, higher than the 12.7x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 12.9x is also above the peer median of 8.0x, though its price-to-sales ratio of 0.7x is lower than the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, BTU returned -27.1%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock gained 57.0% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
BTU dividend
Peabody pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.30 per share, yielding 1.26%. The company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years, reflecting a payout ratio of 28.6%. The last ex-dividend date was August 12, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $30.75, representing a 28.7% premium over the last close of $23.89. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.25B and an EPS of -$0.33. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $4.66B and EPS of $2.85. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest stands at 13.3% of the float, reflecting significant bearish market sentiment.
- Earnings execution has been weak, with only 1 EPS beat recorded across the last 4 reported quarters.
- Current fiscal year EPS is projected at -$0.33, representing a 170.4% decline from the prior year.
- Gross margin compressed sharply from 33.9% in FY2022 to 2.7% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BTU AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BTU income statement, BTU balance sheet, BTU key metrics, BTU analyst forecast, BTU chart. See the BTU stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BTU AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Peabody Energy pay a dividend?
Yes, Peabody Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.30 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.26%. It has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 4 years.
What is Peabody Energy's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Peabody held $526.3M in cash and short-term investments and $424.9M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $101.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13.
What do analysts forecast for Peabody Energy's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations call for an EPS of -$0.33 on $4.25B in revenue. For the following fiscal year, analysts forecast EPS to recover to $2.85 on $4.66B in revenue.
When does Peabody Energy report its next quarterly results?
Peabody Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.