Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) AI Stock Analysis
BSM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBlack Stone Minerals, L.P. (NYSE: BSM) owns and manages oil and natural gas mineral and royalty interests across the United States. The partnership delivered trailing twelve-month revenue of $423.6M with a profit margin of 67.0%. BSM also offers an 8.12% forward dividend yield alongside a net debt position of $194.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $3.20B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $423.6M
- P/E
- 12.5x fwd 12.3x
- 1Y return
- 31.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.00 6.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 95.4% alongside an 8.12% forward dividend yield.
- The partnership maintains modest leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 and net debt of $194.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- BSM returned 31.5% over the past year and beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Annual revenue decreased for three consecutive years from $784.3M in FY2022 to $422.3M in FY2025.
- Quarterly earnings fell 12.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Cash and short-term investments were $1.7M as of June 30, 2026, alongside an elevated dividend payout ratio of 89.7%.
What Black Stone Minerals does
Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Black Stone Minerals, L.P. owns and manages mineral interests in the United States oil and natural gas sector. Established in 1876, the partnership holds mineral rights across approximately 16.8 million gross acres, including nonparticipating royalty interests in 1.8 million gross acres and overriding royalty interests in 1.7 million gross acres spread across 41 states. As of December 31, 2021, the partnership reported estimated proved reserves of 59,824 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE). Its business centers on maximizing portfolio value through asset management while exploring opportunities for growth.
Growth and profitability
Revenue over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025 grew at a CAGR of 7.3%. Annual revenue rose from $505.7M in FY2021 to $784.3M in FY2022, before retreating to $501.1M in FY2023, $439.4M in FY2024, and $422.3M in FY2025. In FY2025, operating margin was 61.8% and net income totaled $299.9M, producing EPS of $1.18. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $423.6M with an operating margin of 95.4% and an EPS of $1.20. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 12.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Black Stone Minerals held $1.7M in cash and short-term investments against $196.0M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $194.3M. Total assets stood at $1.37B and shareholders' equity was $1.11B, supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 and a current ratio of 3.76. In FY2025, the company generated $310.2M in operating cash flow and $298.4M in free cash flow. Cash outlays that year included $11.8M in capital expenditures, $3.8M in share buybacks, and $315.1M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $15.03 on October 16, 2026, Black Stone Minerals carried a market cap of $3.20B and an enterprise value of $3.29B. Its trailing P/E of 12.5x and forward P/E of 12.3x compare to sector medians of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively, for US-listed Energy peers. Its EV to EBITDA stood at 9.9x versus the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales was 7.5x compared to 1.8x for peers. Over the trailing 1-year period, BSM gained 31.5% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of 102.9% topped the index's 83.0%.
BSM dividend
Black Stone Minerals pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.22 per share, representing an 8.12% yield based on its last close. The payout ratio stands at 89.7%, and dividends have been paid for 12 consecutive years. Over the trailing 5-year period, the dividend expanded at an annualized rate of 14.7%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was August 6, 2026.
What analysts expect
Consensus coverage shows 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $16.00 indicates upside of 6.5% over the $15.03 close on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.11 and revenue of $433.3M. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.14 on revenue of $478.9M. Black Stone Minerals beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Dividends paid of $315.1M in FY2025 exceeded free cash flow of $298.4M generated that year.
- Revenue growth has been volatile, swinging from 55.1% in FY2022 to -36.1% in FY2023 and -12.3% in FY2024.
- The valuation reflects a price-to-sales multiple of 7.5x, well above the US-listed Energy median of 1.8x.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BSM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BSM income statement, BSM balance sheet, BSM key metrics, BSM analyst forecast, BSM chart. See the BSM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BSM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Black Stone Minerals' dividend yield?
Black Stone Minerals pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.22 per share, which equates to an 8.12% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 89.7%, and payments are distributed on a quarterly schedule.
How does BSM's valuation compare to other energy companies?
BSM trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and forward P/E of 12.3x, compared to medians of 15.0x and 12.7x among US-listed Energy peers. However, its price-to-sales of 7.5x and EV to EBITDA of 9.9x trade above the peer medians of 1.8x and 8.0x.
What is Black Stone Minerals' debt profile?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.7M in cash and short-term investments against $196.0M in total debt, giving it net debt of $194.3M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.18 with a current ratio of 3.76.
When does Black Stone Minerals report earnings next?
The partnership is scheduled to release its next financial report on November 2, 2026. Consensus estimates project full-year FY2026 revenue of $433.3M and EPS of $1.11.