Bumble Inc. (BMBL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: BMBLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BMBL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Bumble Inc. is an online dating and social networking company operating the Bumble, Badoo, and Fruitz platforms with approximately 40 million monthly users. While the business generated positive operating cash flow of $250.4M in FY2025, revenue contracted 9.9% in FY2025 and fell 15.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company faces ongoing net losses, reporting a net income of -$693.1M in FY2025.

Market cap
$910.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$893.2M
P/E
—
fwd 9.3x
1Y return
11.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$4.18
-29.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow reached $238.7M in FY2025, supported by $250.4M in operating cash flow and modest capital expenditures of $11.7M.
  • Gross margin improved consistently from 59.0% in FY2021 to 68.3% in FY2025.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 9.3x compared to the US-listed Communication Services median of 14.1x.

Bear case

  • Revenue contracted 9.9% in FY2025 to $965.7M and further fell 15.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company recorded a substantial net loss of -$693.1M in FY2025, contributing to a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -58.0%.
  • Consensus price target of $4.18 sits 29.6% below the stock's recent closing price of $5.94.

What Bumble does

Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking platforms across North America, Europe, and internationally. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company operates platforms offering subscription-based dating products and in-app purchases. Its portfolio includes Bumble, where women initiate conversations, Badoo, which caters to a global audience, and Fruitz. Together, Bumble and Badoo attract roughly 40 million monthly users. The company employs 580 people and focuses on developing features designed to enhance user safety, respectful interactions, and digital dating connections.

Growth and profitability

Revenue rose from $760.9M in FY2021 to a peak of $1.07B in FY2024 before contracting 9.9% to $965.7M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 59.0% in FY2021 to 68.3% in FY2025, while operating margin reached 26.3% in FY2025. However, net results remained deeply negative, with net income worsening to -$693.1M in FY2025 compared to -$557.0M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $893.2M with a net profit margin of -58.0% and an operating margin of 28.1%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 15.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 169.8%.

BMBL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Bumble held $154.0M in cash and short-term investments against $459.8M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $305.9M. Total assets stood at $1.22B and shareholders' equity was $516.1M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 and a current ratio of 1.62. In FY2025, the company delivered $250.4M in operating cash flow and $238.7M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $11.7M, and the company allocated $28.7M to share buybacks.

BMBL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

BMBL trades at an enterprise value of $659.5M and a market capitalization of $910.1M. Its forward P/E of 9.3x is below the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers of 14.1x. Its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 5.7x compared to the peer median of 10.0x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 1.0x versus the peer median of 0.8x. Over the past year, BMBL returned 11.4%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a five-year period, the stock declined 88.6%, compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.

BMBL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 11 Hold ratings, 1 Sell rating, and 0 Buy or Strong Buy ratings. The mean price target is $4.18, representing a 29.6% discount to the last close of $5.94 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.35 and revenue of $833.8M. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $0.94 on revenue of $800.4M. Bumble beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

BMBL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Carrying $459.8M in total debt against $154.0M in cash leaves Bumble with net debt of $305.9M amid declining top-line sales.
  • Short interest represents 16.3% of the float, indicating elevated bearish positioning.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.89, reflecting high volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Analyst projections indicate top-line contraction will continue, with revenue expected to drop to $800.4M in the next fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BMBL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Bumble Inc. (BMBL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BMBL income statement, BMBL balance sheet, BMBL key metrics, BMBL analyst forecast, BMBL chart. See the BMBL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BMBL AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Bumble pay a dividend?

No, Bumble does not currently pay a dividend. Capital is directed toward operations, capital expenditures ($11.7M in FY2025), and share buybacks ($28.7M in FY2025).

What are analysts' forecasts for Bumble's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $833.8M and EPS of $0.35. For the subsequent fiscal year, analysts expect revenue of $800.4M and EPS of $0.94.

What is Bumble's current financial leverage?

As of June 30, 2026, Bumble carried $459.8M in total debt and $154.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $305.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89.

When is Bumble's next earnings report?

Bumble's next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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