AXT, Inc. (AXTI) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AXTIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AXTI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

AXT, Inc. (AXTI) manufactures compound and single-element semiconductor substrates such as indium phosphide, gallium arsenide, and germanium. The company generated $125.5M in trailing twelve-month revenue, with latest quarter sales surging 164.8% year-over-year. AXT maintains a net cash position of $331.8M as of June 30, 2026, while analysts anticipate FY2026 revenue of $218.0M.

Market cap
$3.38B
Revenue (TTM)
$125.5M
P/E
—
fwd 30.8x
1Y return
944.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$91.60
78.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue surged 164.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to grow 111.3% to $460.7M, alongside EPS of $2.25.
  • The balance sheet holds $331.8M in net cash with a current ratio of 4.77 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • AXT generated negative free cash flow of -$18.8M in FY2025, marking three consecutive annual net losses including -$21.3M in FY2025.
  • AXTI trades at an EV/EBITDA of 294.5x, well above the US-listed Technology peer median of 16.6x.
  • The company's 5-year revenue CAGR through FY2025 was -1.5%, accompanied by a 48.5% 5-year increase in share count.

What AXT does

AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single-element semiconductor substrates using proprietary vertical gradient freeze technology. Founded in 1986 and based in Fremont, California, the company supplies indium phosphide substrates for data center connectivity, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers, photonic integrated circuits, and silicon photonics. It also produces gallium arsenide substrates for Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, satellite communications, screen displays, and 3-D sensing. Additionally, AXT manufactures germanium substrates for multi-junction solar cells and satellite detectors, alongside purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, and pyrolytic boron nitride products.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue contracted from $137.4M to $88.3M, representing a 5-year CAGR of -1.5% from FY2020 to FY2025. After posting net income of $14.6M in FY2021 and $15.8M in FY2022, the company incurred consecutive net losses of -$17.9M in FY2023, -$11.6M in FY2024, and -$21.3M in FY2025, with gross margin dropping to 12.7% in FY2025. However, trailing twelve months revenue reached $125.5M with an operating margin of 21.9% and net margin of 3.2%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 164.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 57.1%.

AXTI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, AXT held $417.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $85.4M, resulting in net cash of $331.8M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 4.77, while the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.10 against shareholders' equity of $887.3M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$12.8M and capital expenditures were $6.0M, leading to free cash flow of -$18.8M. Over a 5-year period, the company's share count increased 48.5%.

AXTI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

AXT carries a market capitalization of $3.38B and an enterprise value of $4.46B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 30.8x, compared to the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 18.8x. Its enterprise value-to-revenue ratio is 35.5x and its price-to-sales multiple is 26.9x, compared to peer median price-to-sales of 2.8x. Over the past year, AXTI shares gained 944.0%, significantly outpacing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, AXTI returned 530.0% compared to 83.0% for the benchmark.

AXTI key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $91.60 sits 78.0% above the last close of $51.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $218.0M and EPS of $0.87, representing earnings growth of 311.7%. For the next fiscal year, 5 analysts expect revenue of $460.7M and EPS of $2.25. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

AXTI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company's beta of 1.86 and high valuation multiples, including a price-to-sales of 26.9x, leave the stock exposed to significant price swings.
  • In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at -$12.8M, continuing a multi-year trend of operating cash outflows.
  • Short interest remains elevated, with short percent of float recorded at 17.2%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AXTI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of AXT, Inc. (AXTI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AXTI income statement, AXTI balance sheet, AXTI key metrics, AXTI analyst forecast, AXTI chart. See the AXTI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AXTI AI stock analysis FAQ

What does AXT, Inc. do?

AXT, Inc. designs and manufactures compound and single-element semiconductor substrates, including indium phosphide, gallium arsenide, and germanium, utilizing vertical gradient freeze technology.

When is AXT's next earnings report?

AXT is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026.

Does AXT pay a dividend?

The company does not pay a dividend based on the provided data.

What is AXT's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, AXT held $417.2M in cash and short-term investments and $85.4M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $331.8M.

What are analysts' price targets for AXTI stock?

Analysts have a mean price target of $91.60 for AXTI, which is 78.0% above its last close of $51.47 on October 16, 2026.

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