Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ARISAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ARIS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aris Mining Corporation is a gold, silver, and copper exploration and mining company operating across Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. In FY2025, the company delivered rapid expansion with revenue rising 81.7% to $927.7M and free cash flow reaching $69.3M. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $1.27B with a strong operating margin of 47.8%.

Market cap
$3.60B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.27B
P/E
12.5x
fwd 6.0x
1Y return
59.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$37.00
112.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue surged 81.7% in FY2025 to $927.7M as operating cash flow jumped to $317.5M.
  • Trailing operating margin of 47.8% significantly exceeds the US-listed Basic Materials peer group median of 18.5%.
  • Wall Street analysts project EPS growth of 60.5% in FY2026 and set a mean price target of $37.00.

Bear case

  • Share count increased by 90.2% over a 5-year span, diluting existing shareholders.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $248.2M in FY2025, following negative free cash flow across FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024.
  • Stock price volatility remains elevated with a beta of 2.08 and shares trading 3.0% below the 200-day average.

What Aris Mining does

Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. The company also explores for silver and copper deposits. Formerly known as GCM Mining Corp., the business changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation in September 2022. Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, the company employs 3,578 people across its mining and exploration operations.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 18.9% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $382.6M in FY2021 to $400.0M in FY2022, $447.7M in FY2023, $510.6M in FY2024, and reached $927.7M in FY2025, representing 81.7% year-over-year growth. Gross margin improved to 49.6% in FY2025 while operating margin reached 38.5%. Net income increased to $78.3M in FY2025, producing EPS of $1.06, after a net loss of -$4.9M in FY2022. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth accelerated by 62.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 4600.5%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.27B with net profit margin at 22.4% and EPS of $1.39.

ARIS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aris Mining held $425.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $505.2M, resulting in net debt of $80.2M. The company maintains solid liquidity with a current ratio of 1.91 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 against shareholders' equity of $1.76B. Operating cash flow improved to $317.5M in FY2025, which funded capital expenditures of $248.2M and generated $69.3M in free cash flow. Over the past 5 years, share count increased by 90.2%.

ARIS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $17.44 per share, Aris Mining trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 6.0x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively. The company carries an EV to EBITDA multiple of 6.9x, below the peer median of 10.5x, though its price-to-sales multiple of 2.8x sits above the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock gained 59.1% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 benchmark, and its 5-year return reached 590.4% versus 83.0% for the index.

ARIS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings include 3 Strong Buy and 3 Buy recommendations from Wall Street analysts. The mean price target is $37.00, representing an upside of 112.2% from the last close of $17.44. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.52B and EPS of $2.05, representing 60.5% EPS growth. For FY2027, 5 analysts project revenue of $2.02B with EPS reaching $2.89. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

ARIS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock displays high volatility with a beta of 2.08 relative to the broader market.
  • The company carries $505.2M in total debt, creating an ongoing obligation despite $425.0M in cash reserves.
  • Free cash flow was negative in three consecutive years through FY2024 before turning positive to $69.3M in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ARIS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ARIS income statement, ARIS balance sheet, ARIS key metrics, ARIS analyst forecast, ARIS chart. See the ARIS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ARIS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Aris Mining's current stock price and market capitalization?

Aris Mining closed at $17.44 on October 16, 2026, giving the company a market capitalization of $3.60B.

How does Aris Mining's valuation compare to its peers?

Aris Mining trades at a forward P/E of 6.0x and EV to EBITDA of 6.9x, which are both below the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 13.4x and 10.5x, respectively.

What are the revenue and earnings expectations for FY2026?

Analysts project full-year revenue of $1.52B and EPS of $2.05 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, which represents 60.5% EPS growth.

When is Aris Mining's next earnings report date?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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