Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AMBAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AMBA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ambarella, Inc. is a developer of semiconductor solutions for video compression, image processing, and deep neural network computer vision. The company generated $390.7M in revenue for FY2026, recovering with 37.2% annual growth, while remaining net unprofitable with a net margin of -19.4%. It maintains a strong balance sheet with $259.7M in net cash and generated $58.0M in free cash flow in FY2026.

Market cap
$2.72B
Revenue (TTM)
$417.8M
P/E
—
fwd 84.7x
1Y return
-26.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$89.36
44.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue rebounded sharply by 37.2% in FY2026 to $390.7M, followed by 13.2% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter ended July 31, 2026.
  • Cash generation expanded significantly, with FY2026 free cash flow climbing to $58.0M alongside an operating cash flow of $73.5M.
  • The balance sheet provides strong liquidity with $259.7M in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02.

Bear case

  • The company continues to post GAAP losses, recording a net income of -$75.9M in FY2026 and a trailing twelve month profit margin of -13.5%.
  • Gross margin has faced steady downward pressure, slipping from 62.7% in FY2022 to 58.0% in FY2026.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a forward P/E of 84.7x compared to the US-listed Technology median of 18.8x, and a high short interest at 14.1% of float.

What Ambarella does

Ambarella, Inc. specializes in developing semiconductor solutions tailored for high-definition (HD) and ultra HD video compression, image processing, and deep neural network processing on a global scale. The company's system-on-a-chip designs combine HD video processing, artificial intelligence-driven computer vision algorithms, audio processing capabilities, and system functions onto a single chip. Its solutions serve automotive applications including video recorders, electronic mirrors, ADAS cameras, cabin monitoring systems, and driver monitoring systems. Ambarella also serves professional and home IP security camera markets, robotics, industrial sectors, and consumer electronics such as wearable body cameras and drones. The company sells globally to ODMs and OEMs through a direct sales force and distribution network.

Growth and profitability

Ambarella posted revenue of $390.7M in FY2026, up 37.2% following a 25.8% gain to $284.9M in FY2025 and a 32.9% drop to $226.5M in FY2024. Over the 5-year span from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue increased at an 11.9% CAGR. Gross margin has steadily compressed from 62.7% in FY2022 to 58.0% in FY2026. The company has reported operating losses throughout this period, though operating margin improved to -21.1% in FY2026 from -44.4% in FY2025. Net income stood at -$75.9M in FY2026 with an EPS of $0.14. For the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, revenue reached $417.8M, with quarterly revenue growing 13.2% year-over-year and profit margin at -13.5%.

AMBA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Ambarella held $272.3M in cash and short-term investments against $12.6M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $259.7M. The company's balance sheet showed a current ratio of 2.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, backed by $620.3M in shareholders' equity and $780.2M in total assets. During FY2026, operating cash flow rose to $73.5M. Ambarella spent $15.5M on capital expenditures, delivering $58.0M in free cash flow, while directing $1.0M toward share buybacks. Its share count increased 12.7% over five years.

AMBA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Ambarella trades at a forward P/E of 84.7x, substantially above the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 18.8x. Its price-to-sales multiple of 6.5x also trades at a premium to the peer median of 2.8x. Ambarella has an enterprise value of $2.73B and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 6.5x. The stock has underperformed broader benchmarks, dropping 26.6% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock dropped 63.1% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

AMBA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover Ambarella with 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 8 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target of $89.36 implies 44.8% upside compared to the October 16, 2026 close of $61.70. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates call for revenue of $441.0M and EPS of $0.80, representing 29.7% EPS growth. For the subsequent year, 13 analysts project revenue of $499.9M and EPS of $1.12. Ambarella beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 24, 2026.

AMBA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock displays elevated price volatility, marked by a beta of 2.38 and a 1-year drop of 26.6%.
  • Continuous heavy research and development spending, which totaled $238.5M in FY2026, keeps operating margins in negative territory at -21.1%.
  • Shareholder dilution has been persistent, with total share count expanding 12.7% over the past 5 years.
  • Quarterly execution has been inconsistent, with the company beating consensus EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AMBA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AMBA income statement, AMBA balance sheet, AMBA key metrics, AMBA analyst forecast, AMBA chart. See the AMBA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AMBA AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Ambarella pay a dividend?

No, Ambarella does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and development, which reached $238.5M in FY2026, as well as capital expenditures of $15.5M.

What is Ambarella's financial standing and debt profile?

Ambarella holds a strong financial position, with $272.3M in cash and short-term investments and only $12.6M in total debt as of July 31, 2026. This translates to $259.7M in net cash, a current ratio of 2.85, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02.

What do analysts project for Ambarella's future earnings?

For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $0.80 on revenue of $441.0M. For the following fiscal year, 13 analysts forecast an EPS of $1.12, reflecting a 39.3% EPS growth estimate, alongside revenue of $499.9M.

When does Ambarella report earnings next?

Ambarella is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 24, 2026. The company met or exceeded consensus EPS expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

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