Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AGIOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AGIO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO) is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on cellular metabolism therapies. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $98.3M in revenue with quarterly revenue growing 259.3% year-over-year. However, operations remain unprofitable with an operating margin of -247.1% and trailing twelve months EPS of -$7.01.

Market cap
$1.87B
Revenue (TTM)
$98.3M
P/E
—
fwd 2.5x
1Y return
-24.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$46.00
46.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded 259.3% year-over-year for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $98.3M.
  • Agios holds a strong balance sheet with $586.4M in net cash and a current ratio of 10.22 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus projects next fiscal year revenue to grow 95.0% to $347.1M with a mean price target of $46.00.

Bear case

  • The company reported negative free cash flow of -$377.3M and operating cash flow of -$373.0M in FY2025.
  • Operating margin remains deeply negative at -247.1% over the trailing twelve months, reflecting ongoing net losses and an EPS of -$7.01.
  • Shares have fallen 24.6% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.

What Agios Pharmaceuticals does

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc., headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to advancing medicines focused on cellular metabolism. The company specializes in therapies targeting critical metabolic pathways to address unmet medical needs. Agios is developing PYRUKYND (mitapivat), an activator of wild-type and mutant pyruvate kinase enzymes for managing hemolytic anemias. Additionally, the company is advancing AG-946, a pyruvate kinase activator tailored to treat lower-risk myelodysplastic syndrome and hemolytic anemias. Founded in 2007, the company operates with 539 employees and continues to develop treatments aimed at transforming patient outcomes.

Growth and profitability

Agios saw revenue rise from $41,409 in FY2021 to $14.2M in FY2022, $26.8M in FY2023, $36.5M in FY2024, and $54.0M in FY2025, representing 48.0% growth in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue CAGR was -23.3%. Gross margin stood at 78.7% in FY2025, down from 88.6% in FY2024. Operating margin was -873.9% in FY2025, alongside a net loss of -$412.8M and EPS of -$7.11, weighed down by $334.4M in R&D expenses. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $98.3M, supported by latest quarterly revenue growth of 259.3% year-over-year, while operating margin was -247.1%.

AGIO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Agios held $617.6M in cash and short-term investments against $31.2M in total debt, yielding net cash of $586.4M. Its current ratio was 10.22, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.03 across $1.03B in shareholders' equity and $1.11B in total assets. During FY2025, the company used -$373.0M in operating cash flow, recorded free cash flow of -$377.3M, and funded $4.3M in capital expenditures. Share count expanded 9.5% over 5 years.

AGIO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Agios trades at a market capitalization of $1.87B and an enterprise value of $1.45B. The stock carries a forward P/E of 2.5x, well below the 17.3x forward P/E median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 19.0x, trading at a premium to the peer median of 4.1x, while EV to revenue stands at 14.8x. Over the past year, the stock fell 24.6%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, AGIO declined 32.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

AGIO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $46.00, implying a 46.9% upside from the last close of $31.32. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$5.72 on revenue of $178.0M. For the next fiscal year, 10 analysts project revenue to reach $347.1M and EPS of -$3.74. Agios beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.

AGIO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High ongoing research and development spending, which reached $334.4M in FY2025, continues to drive substantial cash burn.
  • The stock carries a high valuation multiple of 19.0x price-to-sales compared to the US-listed Healthcare median of 4.1x.
  • Short interest represents 11.9% of float, indicating notable market skepticism.
  • Five-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 is -23.3%, reflecting historical volatility in top-line performance.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AGIO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AGIO income statement, AGIO balance sheet, AGIO key metrics, AGIO analyst forecast, AGIO chart. See the AGIO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AGIO AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Agios Pharmaceuticals pay a dividend?

No, Agios Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend, and its cash is directed toward pipeline development and operations, including $4.3M in capital expenditures in FY2025.

What is the analyst price target for AGIO?

The mean analyst price target is $46.00, representing a 46.9% potential upside compared to its last close of $31.32 on October 16, 2026.

How strong is Agios Pharmaceuticals' liquidity?

As of June 30, 2026, Agios had $617.6M in cash and short-term investments against $31.2M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $586.4M and a current ratio of 10.22.

When does Agios report earnings next?

The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 5, 2026, following a streak of beating EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

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