Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (AENT) AI Stock Analysis
AENT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAlliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (AENT) distributes physical entertainment media, hardware, and third-party logistics solutions. In FY2026, the company grew revenue 8.0% to $1.15B and delivered net income of $13.1M. However, free cash flow declined to -$2.8M, and net debt stood at $92.4M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $229.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.15B
- P/E
- 17.3x fwd 9.3x
- 1Y return
- -24.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $9.00 100.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue increased 8.0% to $1.15B in FY2026, led by 17.7% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- Gross margin improved from 9.0% in FY2023 to 13.3% in FY2026, supporting an operating margin increase to 3.1%.
- Analysts expect EPS to grow 98.1% to $0.52 in FY2027, establishing a mean price target of $9.00.
Bear case
- Free cash flow turned negative at -$2.8M in FY2026, down from positive free cash flow of $26.8M in FY2025.
- Cash and short-term investments stood at $814,000 on June 30, 2026, compared to total debt of $93.2M.
- The stock dropped 44.3% year-to-date and trades 26.9% below its 200-day average.
What Alliance Entertainment does
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation, headquartered in Plantation, Florida, operates as a global wholesaler, distributor, and e-commerce platform specializing in the entertainment industry. Founded in 1990, the company distributes vinyl records, video games, DVDs, Blu-rays, toys, CDs, collectibles, and consumer entertainment goods. In addition to physical media, entertainment products, hardware, and accessories distribution, it provides comprehensive third-party logistics solutions. The company utilizes a multi-channel strategy catering to retail outlets, online platforms, and direct consumer channels worldwide.
Growth and profitability
In FY2026, revenue increased 8.0% to $1.15B, reversing declines from $1.10B in FY2024 and $1.06B in FY2025. Between FY2022 and FY2026, 5-year revenue CAGR was -4.1%. Gross margin expanded from 9.0% in FY2023 to 13.3% in FY2026, while operating margin improved to 3.1% from -2.8% over the same period. Net income was $13.1M in FY2026, down slightly from $15.1M in FY2025 but up from a net loss of -$35.4M in FY2023. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.7% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 24.8%. TTM revenue stood at $1.15B with a profit margin of 1.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Alliance Entertainment held cash and short-term investments of $814,000 alongside total debt of $93.2M, resulting in net debt of $92.4M. Shareholders' equity was $116.6M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80 and a current ratio of 1.34. In FY2026, operating cash flow turned to -$1.7M, and capital expenditures of $1.1M brought free cash flow to -$2.8M. Additionally, the company's share count increased 255.1% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Alliance Entertainment closed at $4.50 on October 16, 2026, trading at a trailing P/E of 17.3x and a forward P/E of 9.3x. In comparison, the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers had a trailing P/E of 16.2x and a forward P/E of 14.1x. The company's price-to-sales ratio was 0.2x versus the peer median of 0.8x, while its EV-to-EBITDA ratio was 10.8x compared to the peer median of 10.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 24.9% against a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and over 5 years it declined 54.2% while the index gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Alliance Entertainment has 3 covering analysts, with 2 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target is $9.00, representing 100.0% upside compared to the last close of $4.50. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.52 and revenue of $1.17B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A cash balance of $814,000 provides limited financial flexibility against $93.2M in total debt.
- A 5-year revenue CAGR of -4.1% underscores multi-year top-line contraction prior to the FY2026 recovery.
- Dilution risk is highlighted by a 255.1% increase in the share count over the past 5 years.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AENT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (AENT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AENT income statement, AENT balance sheet, AENT key metrics, AENT analyst forecast, AENT chart. See the AENT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AENT AI stock analysis FAQ
What products does Alliance Entertainment distribute?
Alliance Entertainment distributes physical entertainment media and consumer goods, including vinyl records, video games, DVDs, Blu-rays, CDs, toys, and collectibles. The company also provides third-party logistics solutions.
Does Alliance Entertainment pay a dividend?
Alliance Entertainment does not pay a dividend.
What is Alliance Entertainment's current debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, Alliance Entertainment had $93.2M in total debt and $814,000 in cash, resulting in net debt of $92.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80.
What are analysts forecasting for AENT's fiscal year 2027?
Analysts project revenue of $1.17B and EPS of $0.52 for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, representing 98.1% expected EPS growth.
When is Alliance Entertainment's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 11, 2026.