Vericel Corporation (VCEL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VCELAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VCEL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Vericel Corporation (NASDAQ: VCEL) is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on cellular therapies for sports medicine and severe burn care. The company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.3% through FY2025 and reached profitability with net income of $16.5M in FY2025. It maintains a liquid balance sheet with $162.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside net cash of $69.9M.

Market cap
$2.05B
Revenue (TTM)
$306.3M
P/E
85.4x
fwd 57.1x
1Y return
15.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$59.71
48.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew 16.5% to $276.3M in FY2025 while gross margins expanded to 74.4%.
  • The company maintains solid liquidity with $162.5M in cash and short-term investments and net cash of $69.9M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Consensus estimates anticipate 63.9% EPS growth in FY2027 to $0.85 on revenue of $392.9M.

Bear case

  • Vericel trades at a trailing P/E of 85.4x and EV/EBITDA of 49.6x, representing large premiums to the US-listed Healthcare medians of 24.6x and 12.0x.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin sits at 0.6%, trailing the peer group median of 14.0%.
  • Shares carry a 13.1% short interest as a percentage of float after delivering a 5-year return of -21.0%.

What Vericel does

Vericel Corporation develops, manufactures, and distributes cellular therapies primarily tailored for sports medicine and severe burn care in the United States. Its core commercial products include MACI, an autologous cellularized scaffold product used for repairing cartilage defects of the knee, and Epicel, a permanent skin replacement humanitarian use device for adult and pediatric deep-dermal or full-thickness burns. The company is also advancing NexoBrid, a biological orphan product in the registration stage designed for eschar removal in deep partial-thickness and full-thickness burns. Headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, the company was originally founded in 1989 as Aastrom Biosciences, Inc.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Vericel expanded annual revenue from $156.2M to $276.3M, supported by a 5-year CAGR of 17.3%. Gross margin widened steadily over the period, moving from 67.9% in FY2021 to 74.4% in FY2025. After net losses of $7.5M in FY2021 and $16.7M in FY2022, the company turned profitable in FY2024 with net income of $10.4M, rising to $16.5M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $306.3M with an operating margin of 0.6% and a net margin of 7.9%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue grew 22.5% year-over-year while earnings rose 18.9%.

VCEL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Vericel held $162.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $92.5M, yielding net cash of $69.9M. The balance sheet reflects a current ratio of 5.04 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 on shareholders' equity of $370.0M. Operating cash flow reached $51.9M in FY2025, supporting capital expenditures of $27.2M and delivering free cash flow of $24.7M. Over five years, the diluted share count increased by 2.0%.

VCEL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $40.13, Vericel carries an enterprise value of $1.92B and a market capitalization of $2.05B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 85.4x and a forward P/E of 57.1x, well above the US-listed Healthcare median trailing P/E of 24.6x and forward P/E of 17.3x. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 49.6x compared to the peer median of 12.0x, while price-to-sales is 6.7x versus the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, VCEL returned 15.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and over five years returned -21.0% against an 83.0% gain for SPY.

VCEL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $59.71, representing a 48.8% upside relative to the last close of $40.13. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.52 on revenue of $336.2M, followed by EPS of $0.85 on revenue of $392.9M in FY2027. Vericel beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

VCEL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating profitability remains thin, with trailing twelve-month operating margin at 0.6% compared to the peer median of 14.0%.
  • Valuation risk is elevated due to a forward P/E of 57.1x, which depends heavily on achieving projected FY2026 EPS of $0.52.
  • Short interest accounts for 13.1% of the float, indicating notable market skepticism.
  • Commercial expansion relies on the uptake of pipeline assets like NexoBrid, which remains in the registration stage.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VCEL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Vericel Corporation (VCEL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VCEL income statement, VCEL balance sheet, VCEL key metrics, VCEL analyst forecast, VCEL chart. See the VCEL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VCEL AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Vericel Corporation sell?

Vericel's commercial portfolio includes MACI for knee cartilage repair and Epicel, a humanitarian use device for deep-dermal or full-thickness burns. It is also progressing NexoBrid through the registration stage for thermal burn eschar removal.

Does Vericel pay a dividend?

No, Vericel Corporation does not currently pay a dividend. The company reinvests operating cash flow, allocating $27.2M toward capital expenditures in FY2025.

What is the consensus analyst target for VCEL stock?

The mean analyst price target is $59.71, implying a 48.8% upside from its closing price of $40.13 on October 16, 2026. The coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating.

How leveraged is Vericel's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Vericel held $162.5M in cash and short-term investments against $92.5M in total debt, giving it net cash of $69.9M. Its current ratio was 5.04 with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25.

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