Valneva SE (VALN) AI Stock Analysis
VALN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchValneva SE is a commercial-stage biotechnology firm focused on prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $142.9M in revenue but posted an operating margin of -74.9% and a net loss per share of -$2.10. While analysts forecast revenue to rise to $283.4M next fiscal year, the stock is down 45.2% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $532.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $142.9M
- P/E
- — fwd 3.6x
- 1Y return
- -45.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $12.25 118.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to surge 87.6% to $283.4M with positive EPS of $1.19.
- The average analyst price target of $12.25 implies a 118.4% increase over the last closing price of $5.61.
- Valneva's forward P/E ratio of 3.6x represents a steep discount to the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x.
Bear case
- The company generated -$57.4M in free cash flow during FY2025 and holds net debt of $88.7M.
- Share count has expanded by 88.0% over five years, significantly diluting equity holders.
- Quarterly revenue fell 27.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, contributing to an operating margin of -74.9% over the trailing twelve months.
What Valneva does
Valneva SE is a specialized vaccine company dedicated to advancing prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with significant unmet medical needs. Founded in 1998 and based in Saint-Herblain, France, the company commercializes IXIARO, an inactivated Japanese encephalitis vaccine for travelers, and DUKORAL, an oral vaccine targeting cholera and heat-labile toxin producing E. coli. It also developed the COVID-19 vaccine candidate VLA2001 and is advancing VLA1553 in Phase III trials for chikungunya virus infection. Additionally, Valneva partners with Pfizer, Inc. to co-develop the Lyme disease vaccine candidate VLA15, and collaborates with Instituto Butantan for single-shot chikungunya vaccine development.
Growth and profitability
Valneva's annual revenue rose from $153.7M in FY2023 to $169.6M in FY2024 and reached $174.7M in FY2025, reflecting 3.0% growth that year. Gross margin stood at 38.7% in FY2025, while operating margin fell to -46.7% and net income totaled -$115.2M, compared to net income of -$12.2M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth declined 27.7% year-over-year, and trailing twelve-month revenue reached $142.9M with a profit margin of -110.3%. The company's five-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 is 9.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Valneva held $121.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $210.1M, resulting in net debt of $88.7M. Shareholders' equity was $81.1M, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.59 and a current ratio of 2.16. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$52.9M, free cash flow was -$57.4M, and capital expenditures were $4.5M. The company's share count has increased 88.0% over the past five years.
Valuation and performance
At $5.61 per share, Valneva trades at an enterprise value of $706.4M and a market capitalization of $532.0M. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple is 3.6x, compared to the median of 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 26.9x, above the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 3.7x compared to the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, VALN dropped 45.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and is down 80.0% over five years.
What analysts expect
Valneva holds 3 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Strong Sell rating among analysts. The mean price target of $12.25 represents an upside of 118.4% relative to the last close of $5.61. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$1.13 and revenue of $151.0M. For the next fiscal year, consensus models call for EPS of $1.19 on revenue of $283.4M, representing 87.6% revenue growth. Valneva beat EPS estimates in 0 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 19, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Valneva's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.59 highlights substantial financial leverage on its balance sheet.
- The company has missed EPS consensus targets, registering 0 beats over the trailing four quarters.
- Ongoing operational burn is evident from negative operating cash flow of -$52.9M recorded in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this VALN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Valneva SE (VALN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: VALN income statement, VALN balance sheet, VALN key metrics, VALN analyst forecast, VALN chart. See the VALN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
VALN AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Valneva pay a dividend?
No, Valneva does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
When is Valneva's next earnings report?
Valneva is scheduled to report its next earnings results on November 19, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for Valneva's revenue?
Analysts project current fiscal year revenue of $151.0M followed by $283.4M in the next fiscal year, representing an expected 87.6% increase.
How much debt does Valneva have?
As of June 30, 2026, Valneva had $210.1M in total debt and $121.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $88.7M.