UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) AI Stock Analysis
UWMC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchUWM Holdings Corporation is a US residential mortgage lender operating primarily through wholesale origination channels. Across the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.93B in revenue with a net profit margin of -1.3% and diluted EPS of -$0.11. The stock closed at $1.05 on October 16, 2026, marking a 78.2% drop over the trailing year.
- Market cap
- $1.69B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.93B
- P/E
- — fwd 3.1x
- 1Y return
- -78.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $1.84 75.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts project FY2027 revenue to grow 30.4% to $2.92B, with EPS expected to rise 135.8% to $0.33.
- The stock's forward P/E of 3.1x and price-to-sales of 0.6x trade well below the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 10.8x and 3.2x.
- The mean analyst price target of $1.84 represents a 75.5% premium to the last closing price of $1.05.
Bear case
- Total debt of $14.65B dwarfs shareholders' equity of $133.7M, yielding a high debt-to-equity ratio of 109.53.
- Free cash flow remained negative at -$2.72B in FY2025, following -$6.28B in FY2024.
- The stock has dropped 78.2% over the past year and trades 63.0% below its 200-day moving average.
What UWM does
UWM Holdings Corporation operates in the residential mortgage lending industry within the United States. Founded in 1986 and based in Pontiac, Michigan, the company specializes in originating mortgage loans through its wholesale channel. This framework enables it to facilitate mortgage transactions that primarily involve conforming loans as well as government loans. By utilizing its wholesale broker network, UWM Holdings provides financing solutions and loan origination services to homebuyers across the country.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $1.11B in FY2023 to $1.91B in FY2024 and reached $3.16B in FY2025, representing a 65.8% increase in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a compound annual growth rate of -8.2%. Net income rose to $27.4M in FY2025 from $14.4M in FY2024, after posting a net loss of -$13.2M in FY2023. Operating margin reached 58.0% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $2.93B with an operating margin of -111.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 70.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 277.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, UWM Holdings held $498.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.65B, resulting in net debt of $14.15B. Shareholders' equity was $133.7M, and total assets stood at $17.94B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 109.53 and a current ratio of 1.00. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$2.65B and free cash flow was -$2.72B. Cash outlays during FY2025 included $74.0M in capital expenditures and $716.6M in dividends paid. The share count expanded by 130.8% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $1.05 per share, UWM Holdings has a market capitalization of $1.69B and an enterprise value of $16.57B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.1x, below the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.6x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while EV to EBITDA is 22.1x compared to the peer median of 11.7x. The company has underperformed the broader market, declining 78.2% over the trailing one-year period compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), and falling 77.9% over five years versus an 83.0% increase for SPY.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, 7 Holds, 0 Sells, and 0 Strong Sells. The mean price target is $1.84, which sits 75.5% above the last close of $1.05. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.24B and EPS of $0.14. For the next fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue to expand 30.4% to $2.92B with EPS of $0.33. Over the last four quarters, the company topped EPS consensus estimates once. The next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue fell 70.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Net debt of $14.15B against cash of $498.4M presents significant leverage obligations.
- Short interest represents 29.0% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.
- The company's five-year share count change shows dilution of 130.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this UWMC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: UWMC income statement, UWMC balance sheet, UWMC key metrics, UWMC analyst forecast, UWMC chart. See the UWMC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
UWMC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is UWM Holdings' net debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, UWM Holdings held $498.4M in cash and short-term investments and $14.65B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $14.15B.
What is the consensus analyst price target for UWMC?
The mean analyst price target is $1.84, which is 75.5% above its closing price of $1.05 on October 16, 2026.
How did UWM Holdings perform in its latest reported quarter?
In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 70.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 277.8%.
What are analysts forecasting for UWMC's earnings in FY2026 and FY2027?
Analysts estimate EPS of $0.14 on $2.24B in revenue for FY2026, and EPS of $0.33 on $2.92B in revenue for FY2027.