Tenon Medical, Inc. (TNON) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TNONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TNON AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Tenon Medical, Inc. is a medical device company focused on surgical implant systems for sacroiliac joint fixation and fusion. Revenue expanded to $3.9M in FY2025 and reached $5.3M over the trailing twelve months, supported by 126.8% year-over-year revenue growth in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026. However, the company faces substantial ongoing losses, reporting a trailing twelve month net margin of -257.9% and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.7M.

Market cap
$7.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$5.3M
P/E
—
1Y return
-93.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$44.38
1543.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 126.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Annual gross margin expanded from -92.8% in FY2022 to 59.8% in FY2025.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $44.38, indicating a target vs last close of 1543.5%.

Bear case

  • The stock has declined 93.8% over the past 1-year period and trades at $2.70, near its 52-week low of $2.40.
  • The company generated negative free cash flow of -$11.0M in FY2025 and holds $1.7M in cash against $5.7M in total debt.
  • Tenon Medical exhibits negative shareholders' equity of -$1.7M and a current ratio of 0.58 as of June 30, 2026.

What Tenon Medical does

Tenon Medical, Inc. is a specialized medical device company focused on pioneering surgical implant systems designed to enhance sacroiliac joint fixation and fusion procedures, thereby improving patient outcomes. Headquartered in Los Gatos, California, and founded in 2012, its core offering is The CATAMARAN SIJ Fusion System, which provides advanced instruments and implants tailored for preparing and stabilizing the sacroiliac joint during fusion surgeries. The company provides comprehensive support and training for healthcare professionals performing these procedures across the United States and Puerto Rico, addressing complex challenges associated with sacroiliac joint disorders through research, development, and strategic partnerships.

Growth and profitability

Tenon Medical grew its annual revenue from $160,000 in FY2021 to $691,000 in FY2022, $2.9M in FY2023, $3.3M in FY2024, and $3.9M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 146.0%. Gross margin improved from -92.8% in FY2022 to 59.8% in FY2025. Still, operating margins remained negative throughout, coming in at -324.3% in FY2025 alongside a net income of -$12.6M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $5.3M with an operating margin of -262.2% and EPS of -$44.86. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 126.8% year-over-year.

TNON income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Tenon Medical held $1.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.7M, yielding net debt of $4.0M. The company had a current ratio of 0.58 and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.7M on total assets of $9.9M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$10.7M and free cash flow was -$11.0M, while capital expenditures were $273,000. Financing activities included $1.4M raised through share issuance, following a 5-year share count change of 81900.0%.

TNON balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Tenon Medical carries a market capitalization of $7.3M and an enterprise value of $9.3M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.4x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 1.7x, below the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers which trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x. Its price-to-book multiple stands at 4.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 93.8% and is down 91.9% year-to-date, closing at $2.70 on October 16, 2026, while the S&P 500 returned 16.8% over the past year.

TNON key metrics →

What analysts expect

Tenon Medical holds 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating from Wall Street analysts. The mean price target is $44.38, representing a potential upside of 1543.5% over the last close of $2.70. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $5.8M and EPS of -$21.25. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $9.5M, reflecting 64.0% revenue growth, and an EPS of -$12.02. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 12, 2026.

TNON forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity pressure is heightened by a low current ratio of 0.58 and net debt of $4.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Substantial shareholder dilution has occurred, reflected by a 5-year share count change of 81900.0%.
  • Persistent operational losses continue, highlighted by an operating margin of -262.2% and a profit margin of -257.9% over the trailing twelve months.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TNON AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Tenon Medical, Inc. (TNON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TNON income statement, TNON balance sheet, TNON key metrics, TNON analyst forecast, TNON chart. See the TNON stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TNON AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Tenon Medical manufacture?

Tenon Medical develops surgical implant systems for sacroiliac joint fixation and fusion, centered on The CATAMARAN SIJ Fusion System with specialized implants and instruments.

What is Tenon Medical's revenue growth outlook?

For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus revenue is estimated at $5.8M, with projections reaching $9.5M in the following year, representing 64.0% revenue growth.

Does Tenon Medical pay a dividend?

No, Tenon Medical does not pay a dividend and has negative free cash flow of -$11.0M as of FY2025.

How leveraged is Tenon Medical's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.7M in cash and short-term investments, $5.7M in total debt, negative shareholders' equity of -$1.7M, and a current ratio of 0.58.

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