Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM) AI Stock Analysis
TNDM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTandem Diabetes Care, Inc. designs and develops insulin delivery systems like the t X2 platform for individuals managing insulin-dependent diabetes. In FY2025, revenue increased 7.9% to $1.01B, though net income remained negative at -$204.7M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $456.0M in cash and short-term investments against $739.3M in total debt.
- Market cap
- $1.13B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.04B
- P/E
- — fwd 117.6x
- 1Y return
- 6.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $27.76 70.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Tandem delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.3%, increasing annual revenue from $702.8M in FY2021 to $1.01B in FY2025.
- Analyst consensus projects next fiscal year revenue to reach $1.20B, representing 12.3% annual growth alongside an estimated EPS of $0.16.
- The analyst mean price target of $27.76 implies a 70.9% potential upside from the last close of $16.24.
Bear case
- The company sustained substantial annual losses, including a net income of -$204.7M in FY2025 and an operating margin of -7.7%.
- Total debt stands at $739.3M against $130.4M in shareholders' equity, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.67.
- Free cash flow remained negative at -$29.7M in FY2025, following an operating cash flow outflow of -$9.7M.
What Tandem Diabetes Care does
Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. is a medical device company focused on designing, developing, and distributing products for individuals managing insulin-dependent diabetes worldwide. Its primary offering is the t X2 insulin delivery system, which integrates a pump with a 300-unit disposable insulin cartridge, infusion sets, and automated insulin delivery technologies like Basal-IQ and control IQ. The company offers integration with Dexcom G5 for continuous glucose monitoring and provides software updates via the Tandem Device Updater. Tandem also provides web-based diabetes management tools and the Sugarmate mobile application, supported by strategic alliances with Dexcom, Inc. and Abbott Laboratories.
Growth and profitability
Tandem generated revenue of $702.8M in FY2021, growing 40.9% with net income of $15.6M. Sales expanded to $801.2M in FY2022 before falling 6.7% to $747.7M in FY2023. Revenue recovered by 25.7% to $940.2M in FY2024 and reached $1.01B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.3%. However, the company posted net losses in recent years, including -$204.7M in FY2025 alongside an operating margin of -7.7%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $1.04B with a profit margin of -6.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 5.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 37.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tandem held $456.0M in cash and short-term investments compared to $739.3M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $283.3M. Total assets reached $1.15B and shareholders' equity was $130.4M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.67 and a current ratio of 3.18. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$9.7M, free cash flow was -$29.7M, and capital expenditures were $19.9M. Over five years, the share count expanded by 3.7%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $16.24 on October 16, 2026, Tandem had a market cap of $1.13B and an enterprise value of $1.42B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 117.6x, compared to 17.3x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 345.7x versus the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x is lower than the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock gained 6.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, Tandem fell 87.0% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts covering Tandem include 11 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 12 Hold recommendations, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $27.76, representing a 70.9% upside compared to the last close of $16.24. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.66 and revenue of $1.07B. Tandem has posted 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Tandem faces balance sheet leverage with total debt of $739.3M and net debt of $283.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- Quarterly earnings fell 37.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float recorded at 25.7%.
- The stock exhibits significant volatility, reflected in a beta of 1.66 and a 26.1% year-to-date decline.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TNDM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TNDM income statement, TNDM balance sheet, TNDM key metrics, TNDM analyst forecast, TNDM chart. See the TNDM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TNDM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Tandem Diabetes Care pay a dividend?
No, Tandem Diabetes Care does not pay a dividend. The company allocated capital to research and development as well as capital expenditures of $19.9M in FY2025.
What is the analyst consensus target price for TNDM?
The mean price target among analysts is $27.76, which is 70.9% above the last close price of $16.24. Ratings consist of 11 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 12 Hold recommendations.
How much cash and debt does Tandem Diabetes Care have?
As of June 30, 2026, Tandem held $456.0M in cash and short-term investments and $739.3M in total debt. This corresponds to net debt of $283.3M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.67.
What are the revenue and earnings estimates for Tandem?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.07B and an EPS of -$0.66. For the next fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue of $1.20B and an EPS of $0.16.