Tactile Systems Technology, Inc. (TCMD) AI Stock Analysis
TCMD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTactile Systems Technology, Inc. (TCMD) is a medical device company providing therapies for chronic disease management, including lymphedema, venous disorders, and respiratory conditions. In FY2025, revenue grew 12.5% to $329.5M, generating net income of $19.1M and free cash flow of $40.4M. As of June 30, 2026, the company holds $55.5M in net cash with a current ratio of 4.12.
- Market cap
- $510.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $350.3M
- P/E
- 20.9x fwd 19.1x
- 1Y return
- 53.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $37.67 67.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow reached $40.4M in FY2025, rising from $38.1M in FY2024 and supporting $26.6M in share repurchases.
- The company's enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 9.9x trades at a discount to the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 12.0x.
- For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 144.1% year-over-year alongside 8.6% revenue growth.
Bear case
- The stock has declined 22.3% year-to-date and trades 14.0% below its 200-day moving average.
- Short interest represents 12.8% of the float, reflecting notable market skepticism.
- The company's trailing operating margin of 8.0% trails the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 14.0%.
What Tactile Systems Technology does
Tactile Systems Technology, Inc. is a Minneapolis-based medical technology company focused on developing and delivering advanced medical devices for chronic disease management across the United States. Its primary product is the Flexitouch Plus system, an advanced pneumatic compression device engineered for the treatment of lymphedema by reducing swelling and improving lymphatic circulation. The company also offers the Entre system, a portable pneumatic compression device for at-home treatment of venous disorders like chronic venous insufficiency and venous leg ulcers. Additionally, it provides the AffloVest, a portable high-frequency chest wall oscillation therapy device aiding in airway clearance for conditions such as bronchiectasis and cystic fibrosis.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue expanded from $208.1M to $329.5M, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.0% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 71.2% in FY2021 to 75.2% in FY2025. Operating performance turned profitable after operating margins of -0.8% in FY2021 and -5.2% in FY2022, reaching 8.9% in FY2025 with net income of $19.1M and diluted EPS of $0.85. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $350.3M with an operating margin of 8.0% and EPS of $1.08. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings increased 144.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tactile Systems Technology held $69.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.4M, resulting in net cash of $55.5M. The company maintains a current ratio of 4.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, supported by shareholders' equity of $223.8M. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $42.8M and free cash flow was $40.4M. Capital expenditures totaled $2.4M, while the company directed $26.6M toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $22.52, Tactile Systems Technology trades at a trailing P/E of 20.9x and a forward P/E of 19.1x, compared to medians of 24.6x and 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 9.9x, below the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.5x sits below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 53.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of -36.6% trails the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating, with no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $37.67 implies an upside of 67.3% over the last close of $22.52. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.17 on revenue of $362.4M. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.46 on revenue of $396.6M. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock has experienced sharp fluctuations, trading between a 52-week low of $14.44 and a 52-week high of $37.77.
- A forward P/E of 19.1x exceeds the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x, leaving valuation vulnerable if growth slows.
- The company's share count increased by 16.5% over the past 5 years despite FY2025 share repurchases of $26.6M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TCMD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tactile Systems Technology, Inc. (TCMD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TCMD income statement, TCMD balance sheet, TCMD key metrics, TCMD analyst forecast, TCMD chart. See the TCMD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TCMD AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Tactile Systems Technology pay a dividend?
No, Tactile Systems Technology does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, capital allocation included $2.4M in capital expenditures and $26.6M in share repurchases.
What is Tactile Systems Technology's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $69.9M in cash and short-term investments against $14.4M in debt, leaving net cash of $55.5M. Its current ratio was 4.12.
When is Tactile Systems Technology's next earnings date and what are estimates?
The next earnings date is November 2, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $1.17 and revenue of $362.4M.
How has TCMD performed against the broader market?
Over the past 12 months, TCMD gained 53.3% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, TCMD returned -36.6% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.