TAL Education Group (TAL) AI Stock Analysis
TAL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services and educational products in China. In FY2026, the company generated $3.02B in revenue with net income of $532.7M, marking a continued recovery following prior contractions. With $2.47B in net cash as of May 31, 2026, the company trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5x.
- Market cap
- $6.66B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.19B
- P/E
- 7.5x fwd 9.5x
- 1Y return
- 9.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $16.10 34.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue grew 34.2% in FY2026 to $3.02B as net income expanded to $532.7M.
- The company holds a strong balance sheet with $2.47B in net cash and a current ratio of 1.69 as of May 31, 2026.
- TAL trades at a trailing P/E of 7.5x, which is below the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x.
Bear case
- For the next fiscal year, analysts expect EPS to decline 12.0% to $1.17 despite revenue expansion.
- Over a five-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, TAL's revenue compound annual growth rate was -7.7%.
- Short interest represents 9.5% of the company's float.
What TAL Education does
TAL Education Group, founded in 2003 and headquartered in Beijing, China, provides K-12 after-school tutoring services. The company offers tutoring programs in academic subjects including mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, humanities, English, and Chinese. Services are delivered via small-class formats under brands such as Xueersi, Xueersi Online School, and First Leap, alongside personalized premium tutoring under Izhikang. TAL also operates the jzb.com online education platform, develops educational software and networks, and sells educational materials and products. In addition, the company provides investment management and educational consulting services across its operating markets.
Growth and profitability
TAL's annual revenue dropped 76.9% in FY2023 to $1.02B from $4.40B in FY2022, but has since expanded, reaching $2.25B in FY2025 and $3.02B in FY2026, representing 34.2% growth. Operating margin improved from -11.1% in FY2023 to 9.2% in FY2026, shifting net income from -$135.1M to $532.7M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.19B with an operating margin of 18.1% and a net profit margin of 28.4%. For the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 31.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 1360.0%, yielding a trailing twelve-month diluted EPS of $1.60.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of May 31, 2026, TAL held $2.87B in cash and short-term investments against $405.5M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $2.47B. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.69 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, backed by $4.08B in shareholders' equity. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $603.7M, supporting capital expenditures of $93.5M and generating $510.2M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $646.5M allocated toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
TAL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 7.5x and a forward P/E of 9.5x, below the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 10.5x, compared to 11.7x for the peer median. However, its price-to-sales multiple of 2.1x is higher than the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, TAL delivered a 9.3% return, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500, but outperformed over five years with a 146.9% return versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on TAL consists of 11 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $16.10, representing a 34.1% upside from the last close of $12.00 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.33 on revenue of $3.74B. TAL has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest stands at 9.5% of float, reflecting lingering market skepticism.
- A five-year revenue CAGR of -7.7% highlights past business disruption following revenue contractions between FY2022 and FY2023.
- The stock underperformed the broader market over the trailing year, rising 9.3% compared to the S&P 500's 16.8% gain.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TAL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of TAL Education Group (TAL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TAL income statement, TAL balance sheet, TAL key metrics, TAL analyst forecast, TAL chart. See the TAL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TAL AI stock analysis FAQ
Does TAL Education Group pay a dividend?
TAL Education Group does not currently pay a dividend. In FY2026, the company deployed $646.5M into share buybacks instead.
What is TAL's cash position?
As of May 31, 2026, TAL had $2.87B in cash and short-term investments and $405.5M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $2.47B.
How has TAL performed relative to the S&P 500?
Over the trailing one-year period, TAL gained 9.3% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, while over five years, TAL returned 146.9% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What are analysts expecting for TAL's upcoming earnings?
For the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, analysts project EPS of $1.33 and revenue of $3.74B, with the next earnings announcement scheduled for October 29, 2026.