Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SWKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SWK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global manufacturer of tools, storage solutions, and engineered industrial products. In FY2025, revenue was $15.13B and net income reached $401.9M, continuing a recovery from a net loss of -$281.7M in FY2023. Over the past 12 months, the stock returned 42.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

Market cap
$13.97B
Revenue (TTM)
$15.25B
P/E
22.6x
fwd 14.5x
1Y return
42.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$100.00
8.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Diluted EPS has rebounded from $1.45 in FY2023 to $4.67 in FY2025, supported by 247.8% quarterly earnings growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock's forward P/E of 14.5x and EV/EBITDA of 9.9x trade below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 20.7x and 17.7x, respectively.
  • Stanley Black & Decker provides a 3.63% dividend yield supported by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments and $687.9M in FY2025 free cash flow.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue has declined for three consecutive fiscal years, falling from $16.95B in FY2022 to $15.13B in FY2025.
  • Long-term shareholder returns have significantly lagged the market, with a 5-year return of -38.7% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
  • The balance sheet carries total debt of $4.76B and net debt of $4.17B against cash and short-term investments of $592.4M.

What Stanley Black & Decker does

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. operates as a diversified global provider in the tools, storage, and industrial sectors across North America, Europe, Asia, and the Americas. Its Tools & Storage segment sells corded and cordless electric power tools under brands such as DEWALT and BLACK+DECKER, along with pneumatic tools, fasteners, lawn care equipment, hand tools, accessories, and storage products. Its Industrial segment specializes in engineered fastening systems for automotive, electronics, aerospace, and construction applications. Additionally, the company provides pipeline construction equipment, inspection services, hydraulic tools, heavy attachments, and automatic doors for commercial customers.

Growth and profitability

Revenue reached $15.28B in FY2021 and peaked at $16.95B in FY2022 before declining to $15.78B in FY2023, $15.37B in FY2024, and $15.13B in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 0.8%. Operating margin declined from 13.5% in FY2021 to 5.4% in FY2022, settling at 7.6% in FY2025. Net income recovered from -$281.7M in FY2023 to $286.3M in FY2024 and $401.9M in FY2025, with diluted EPS rising to $4.67. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 0.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 247.8%.

SWK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Stanley Black & Decker had $592.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.76B, leaving net debt at $4.17B. Shareholders' equity was $8.96B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 and a current ratio of 1.43. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $971.2M and free cash flow was $687.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $283.3M for capital expenditures, $500.6M in dividends paid, and $14.7M in share buybacks.

SWK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $92.48 per share, Stanley Black & Decker has a market capitalization of $13.97B and an enterprise value of $18.02B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 22.6x and a forward P/E of 14.5x, below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 9.9x is also below the peer median of 17.7x. While the stock's 1-year return of 42.1% outperformed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, its 5-year return of -38.7% trailed the broader market return of 83.0%.

SWK key metrics →

SWK dividend

Stanley Black & Decker pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $3.36, representing a dividend yield of 3.63%. The payout ratio stands at 63.9%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years and recorded a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 3.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 8, 2026.

SWK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover the stock with 4 Strong Buy ratings and 11 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $100.00, representing an 8.1% upside from the last close of $92.48. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.60 on revenue of $15.16B. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.

SWK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $4.17B as of June 30, 2026, places ongoing claims on operating cash flow.
  • Operating margin of 8.4% over the trailing twelve months remains below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 17.9%.
  • Organic top-line growth remains low, with latest quarterly revenue increasing only 0.4% year-over-year.
  • Short interest represents 5.5% of the float, reflecting market skepticism regarding the business turnaround.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SWK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SWK income statement, SWK balance sheet, SWK key metrics, SWK analyst forecast, SWK chart. See the SWK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SWK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Stanley Black & Decker's dividend yield and history?

Stanley Black & Decker offers an annual forward dividend of $3.36 per share, equaling a dividend yield of 3.63%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 3.5% and a payout ratio of 63.9%.

When is Stanley Black & Decker's next earnings date?

The company is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. Stanley Black & Decker exceeded analyst EPS estimates in each of the trailing 4 quarters.

How much debt does Stanley Black & Decker have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $4.76B in total debt and $592.4M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $4.17B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53.

What is the consensus analyst target for SWK stock?

The mean analyst price target is $100.00, which sits 8.1% above the last close of $92.48 as of October 16, 2026. The stock holds 4 Strong Buy and 11 Hold ratings.

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