Kennametal Inc. (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KMTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KMT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) is an industrial supplier of tooling systems, advanced wear components, and metallurgical powders for extreme wear and metal cutting applications. In FY2026, the company increased annual revenue by 19.8% to $2.36B and expanded net income to $342.4M. Despite strong top-line and accounting profit growth, operating cash flow turned negative at -$4.0M and free cash flow dropped to -$80.9M.

Market cap
$2.35B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.36B
P/E
7.0x
fwd 21.4x
1Y return
41.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$31.43
2.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue expanded by 19.8% in FY2026 to $2.36B, supported by a 42.6% year-over-year jump in the latest quarter.
  • Trailing operating margin expanded to 41.2%, significantly above the 11.7% median of its US-listed Industrials peers.
  • Kennametal carries a low trailing P/E of 7.0x and an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 4.6x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$80.9M in FY2026, down from positive $119.4M in FY2025.
  • Analysts forecast earnings per share to drop by 50.6% in the fiscal year ending June 30, 2028, down to $2.44.
  • Short interest represents 14.3% of the float, and none of the 8 covering analysts rate the stock a Buy.

What Kennametal does

Kennametal Inc. develops and applies advanced materials, including tungsten carbides, ceramics, and super-hard materials, for metal cutting and severe wear environments. The company operates through two segments: Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. Its catalog includes turning, milling, and hole-making tools, tooling systems, specialized wear components, and metallurgical powders. These products serve diverse markets, including aerospace, transportation vehicle manufacturing, machine tools, heavy machinery, power generation, and oil and gas. Kennametal also produces rod blanks, abrasive water jet nozzles, earth cutting tools for mining and trenching, and custom components like compacts, nozzles, and frac seats.

Growth and profitability

Kennametal delivered a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 5.1% from FY2021 to FY2026. Top-line results had contracted in FY2024 by 1.5% to $2.05B and in FY2025 by 3.9% to $1.97B, before rebounding in FY2026 with 19.8% revenue growth to $2.36B. Operating margin rose to 20.1% and gross margin reached 41.2% in FY2026, up from 7.3% and 30.4%, respectively, in FY2025. Diluted earnings per share climbed to $4.54 from $1.35 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 42.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings increased 928.7%.

KMT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kennametal held $95.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $763.7M, resulting in net debt of $667.9M. Its current ratio stood at 2.62, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 on shareholders' equity of $1.57B. Total assets were $3.17B. During FY2026, operations consumed cash, leading to operating cash flow of -$4.0M. Accounting for capital expenditures of $76.9M, free cash flow was -$80.9M. The company distributed $60.8M in dividends and deployed $10.1M toward share buybacks.

KMT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

KMT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0x, which is lower than the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. However, its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4x trades at a premium to the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 4.6x compared to the peer median of 13.9x, while price-to-sales is 1.0x versus the 1.5x median. Over the past 12 months, KMT returned 41.9%, outperforming the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, KMT dropped 3.1% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

KMT key metrics →

KMT dividend

Kennametal pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.80 per share on an annualized basis, reflecting a dividend yield of 2.60%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years, maintaining a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 0.0%. Its payout ratio is 17.6% based on trailing earnings, and its most recent ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026.

KMT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Hold, 2 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings, with 0 Buy ratings. The mean price target is $31.43, representing 2.1% upside from the last close of $30.79. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.38B and earnings per share of $4.96. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts expect revenue of $3.48B and earnings per share of $2.44, representing a 50.6% drop in EPS. Kennametal beat EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.

KMT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $667.9M and cash reserves of $95.8M present financial constraints if free cash flow remains negative.
  • Earnings per share volatility is elevated, with forward projections pointing to a 50.6% decline after FY2027.
  • A beta of 1.32 indicates that KMT experiences higher share price volatility than the broader equity market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KMT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kennametal Inc. (KMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KMT income statement, KMT balance sheet, KMT key metrics, KMT analyst forecast, KMT chart. See the KMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KMT AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Kennametal Inc. pay?

Kennametal pays an annual forward dividend of $0.80 per share, which corresponds to a 2.60% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 17.6%.

When is Kennametal's next earnings date?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026. It has beaten earnings per share estimates in all of the last 4 quarters.

What are Wall Street's expectations for KMT stock?

Analysts have an average price target of $31.43, implying a 2.1% premium to the last close of $30.79. Out of 8 analyst ratings, 4 are Hold, 2 are Sell, and 2 are Strong Sell.

How does Kennametal's valuation compare to industry peers?

Kennametal trades at a trailing P/E of 7.0x and EV/EBITDA of 4.6x, both below the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. However, its forward P/E of 21.4x is above the peer median of 17.2x.

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