Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (STOK) AI Stock Analysis
STOK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchStoke Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: STOK) is a biotechnology company advancing antisense oligonucleotide therapies for severe genetic disorders. In FY2025, revenue rose 404.5% to $184.4M, while operating cash flow reached $45.6M. However, TTM operating margin sits at -701.6% alongside a TTM net loss per share of -$3.38.
- Market cap
- $1.56B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $27.6M
- P/E
- — fwd 204.1x
- 1Y return
- -29.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $46.46 92.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 4-year CAGR of 180.0%, reaching $184.4M in FY2025.
- The balance sheet maintains strong liquidity with $290.1M in net cash and a current ratio of 7.69 as of June 30, 2026.
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $46.46 implies a 92.2% premium over the recent share price of $24.17.
Bear case
- The stock trades at elevated multiples, including a forward P/E of 204.1x compared to the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x.
- Quarterly revenue fell 32.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside a TTM operating margin of -701.6%.
- Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the 5-year share count expanding by 79.2%.
What Stoke Therapeutics does
Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. The company develops antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) therapies designed to increase protein expression levels using its proprietary Targeted Augmentation of Nuclear Gene Output (TANGO) platform. Its lead clinical candidate, STK-001, is in Phase I/IIa clinical trials to treat Dravet syndrome, a severe genetic epilepsy. Stoke Therapeutics is also advancing STK-002 in the preclinical stage for autosomal dominant optic atrophy. In addition, the company collaborates with Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc. to develop RNA-based therapies for severe, rare genetic neurodevelopmental disorders affecting the central nervous system.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $3.0M in FY2021 to $184.4M in FY2025, representing a 4-year revenue CAGR of 180.0%. Net income improved from -$84.7M in FY2021 to -$6.9M in FY2025, with EPS finishing at -$0.12 in FY2025. In that same year, operating cash flow turned positive to $45.6M, while R&D expenses reached $137.9M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $27.6M, and quarterly revenue fell 32.5% year-over-year. TTM EPS was -$3.38 with an operating margin of -701.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Stoke Therapeutics held $292.8M in cash and short-term investments against $2.7M in total debt, yielding net cash of $290.1M. Shareholders' equity was $345.5M, and total assets stood at $394.0M. The company reported a current ratio of 7.69 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $670,000, while the company's share count increased 79.2% over a 5-year period.
Valuation and performance
At $24.17 per share, Stoke Therapeutics has a market capitalization of $1.56B and an enterprise value of $1.39B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 204.1x and a price-to-sales multiple of 56.5x, compared to medians of 17.3x and 4.1x, respectively, for US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 26.4x versus the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, the stock declined 29.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and sits 22.6% below its 200-day moving average.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 12 Strong Buy ratings, 2 Buy ratings, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $46.46, representing an upside of 92.2% from the closing price of $24.17. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$3.62 on revenue of $32.0M. For the next fiscal year, 12 analysts project revenue of $44.8M and an EPS of -$3.53. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue visibility remains volatile, with consensus FY2026 revenue projected at $32.0M after reaching $184.4M in FY2025.
- The company has missed profit expectations frequently, exceeding consensus EPS targets in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Short interest represents 18.5% of the float, pointing to elevated skepticism in the market.
- The stock's beta of 1.26 reflects heightened market volatility relative to broader indices.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this STOK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (STOK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: STOK income statement, STOK balance sheet, STOK key metrics, STOK analyst forecast, STOK chart. See the STOK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
STOK AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Stoke Therapeutics' core pipeline focus?
Stoke Therapeutics focuses on antisense oligonucleotide therapies using its TANGO platform, primarily advancing STK-001 in Phase I/IIa clinical trials for Dravet syndrome and STK-002 in preclinical stages for autosomal dominant optic atrophy.
How strong is Stoke Therapeutics' financial position?
As of June 30, 2026, Stoke held $292.8M in cash and short-term investments against $2.7M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $290.1M and a current ratio of 7.69.
Does Stoke Therapeutics pay a dividend?
No, Stoke Therapeutics does not pay a dividend and has no dividend history reported.
What are analysts projecting for Stoke Therapeutics' earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $32.0M and an EPS of -$3.62, followed by an estimated EPS of -$3.53 on $44.8M in revenue for the next fiscal year.