STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) AI Stock Analysis
STAG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSTAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG) is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring and managing single-tenant industrial properties across the United States. In FY2025, revenue reached $845.2M with net income of $273.5M, while trailing twelve-month revenue expanded to $880.6M. The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 4.33% and trades at an enterprise value of $10.51B.
- Market cap
- $7.05B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $880.6M
- P/E
- 27.6x fwd 144.9x
- 1Y return
- -0.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $41.33 15.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue expanded at an 11.8% 5-year CAGR through FY2025, reaching $845.2M with free cash flow of $401.8M.
- The company offers consistent shareholder income with 16 consecutive years of dividends paid and a forward dividend yield of 4.33%.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $41.33, suggesting 15.4% upside above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $35.83.
Bear case
- For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS to decline 24.8% to $1.10.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 144.9x, well above the US-listed Real Estate median of 23.5x.
- Over the past five years, STAG returned 3.0%, substantially lagging the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What STAG Industrial does
STAG Industrial, Inc. operates as a specialized real estate investment trust focused on acquiring and managing single-tenant industrial properties across the United States. Its portfolio includes a diverse array of industrial assets strategically located in key domestic markets. These properties are leased to a range of tenants, including logistics and manufacturing companies, distribution centers, and storage facilities. The company identifies and acquires assets with strong tenant relationships and long-term lease agreements, seeking stable cash flows and growth within the industrial real estate sector while maintaining a footprint that supports tenant requirements.
Growth and profitability
STAG grew annual revenue from $562.2M in FY2021 to $845.2M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.8%. Annual revenue growth stood at 16.3% in FY2021, 16.9% in FY2022, 7.7% in FY2023, 8.4% in FY2024, and 10.1% in FY2025. Gross margin shifted from 80.8% in FY2021 to 61.3% in FY2025, while operating margin expanded from 29.7% to 37.7%. Net income rose from $192.3M in FY2021 to $273.5M in FY2025, bringing diluted EPS to $1.46. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.1% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 3.3% year-over-year, contributing to trailing twelve-month revenue of $880.6M and an operating margin of 37.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, STAG held $65.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.48B, yielding net debt of $3.41B. Total assets stood at $7.48B and shareholders' equity was $3.63B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96 and a current ratio of 0.48. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $463.4M and free cash flow of $401.8M. Capital expenditures totaled $61.6M, while dividends paid used $284.0M. Over five years, the company's share count increased 10.2%.
Valuation and performance
STAG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6x and a forward P/E of 144.9x, compared to the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x trailing and 23.5x forward. Its price-to-sales multiple is 8.0x versus the peer median of 3.7x, and its EV/EBITDA is 14.9x against the peer median of 14.7x. The company has a market cap of $7.05B and an enterprise value of $10.51B. Over the past year, STAG returned -0.7%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 3.0% compared to 83.0% for SPY.
STAG dividend
STAG pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.55 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.33%. The dividend payout ratio is 80.4%, and the company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized at 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $41.33, implying an upside of 15.4% over the last close of $35.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $908.3M and an EPS of $1.10, reflecting an EPS decline of 24.8%. STAG beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- STAG carries $3.48B in total debt and $65.9M in cash, leading to a net debt balance of $3.41B.
- The current ratio stands at 0.48, pointing to tight short-term liquidity.
- Gross margin declined from 79.8% in FY2024 to 61.3% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this STAG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: STAG income statement, STAG balance sheet, STAG key metrics, STAG analyst forecast, STAG chart. See the STAG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
STAG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is STAG Industrial's dividend yield and payment frequency?
STAG pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.55 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.33% as of October 16, 2026.
When is STAG Industrial's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.
What is the consensus analyst target for STAG stock?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $41.33, representing a 15.4% premium over the last close of $35.83.
How much debt does STAG Industrial have?
As of June 30, 2026, STAG had $3.48B in total debt and $65.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.41B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96.