Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) AI Stock Analysis
SCCO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSouthern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is an integrated producer of copper and minerals operating in Peru, Mexico, and other South American nations. In FY2025, revenue reached $13.42B with net income of $4.33B, while trailing twelve month revenue expanded to $15.79B. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 40.6% year-over-year alongside a 71.6% rise in quarterly earnings.
- Market cap
- $169.30B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.79B
- P/E
- 29.9x fwd 28.1x
- 1Y return
- 57.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $176.73 -11.9% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 40.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings surged 71.6%.
- Southern Copper demonstrated robust profitability with a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 61.2% and return on equity of 49.9%.
- The company generated $3.43B in free cash flow in FY2025 while supporting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 16.4%.
Bear case
- Wall Street analysts maintain a cautious outlook with 11 Sell or Strong Sell ratings versus just 1 Strong Buy, and a mean price target of $176.73 that is 11.9% below the last close.
- For the next fiscal year, consensus forecasts call for revenue to contract by 3.7% to $16.57B and EPS to decline 3.3% to $7.56.
- SCCO trades at a rich valuation with a trailing P/E of 29.9x and EV/EBITDA of 17.1x, well above the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 19.7x and 10.5x.
What Southern Copper does
Southern Copper Corporation conducts integrated copper and mineral production across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. Its operations cover mining, exploration, smelting, and refining to yield copper, molybdenum concentrates, blister and anode copper, and refined copper cathodes. The company also produces sulfuric acid, silver, gold, zinc, lead, coal, and coke. Key assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, smelters, and refineries in Peru, as well as the La Caridad and Buenavista open-pit complexes, underground mines, concentrators, and SX-EW plants in Mexico.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 10.9%, moving from $10.93B in FY2021 to $13.42B in FY2025 after dips in FY2022 ($10.05B) and FY2023 ($9.90B). Net income rose to $4.33B in FY2025 from $2.43B in FY2023, while gross margin improved to 56.7% and operating margin reached 52.2%. In the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $15.79B with an operating margin of 61.2% and EPS of $6.70. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue surged 40.6% year-over-year, supported by a 71.6% rise in quarterly earnings.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Southern Copper held $7.33B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $8.53B, resulting in net debt of $1.20B. The company maintained a current ratio of 5.06 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 on shareholders' equity of $12.63B. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $4.75B and free cash flow was $3.43B, funding capital expenditures of $1.33B and dividend payments of $2.49B.
Valuation and performance
Southern Copper closed at $200.51 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $169.30B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 29.9x, an EV/EBITDA of 17.1x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 10.7x, each higher than the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers (19.7x trailing P/E, 10.5x EV/EBITDA, and 1.8x price-to-sales). Over the past year, the shares gained 57.8%, outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return reached 289.3% versus 83.0% for the index.
SCCO dividend
Southern Copper pays a forward annual dividend of $4.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 2.19% with a payout ratio of 57.9%. The quarterly dividend has been paid for 31 consecutive years, reflecting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 16.4%. Its last ex-dividend date occurred on August 11, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment is cautious, with 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 6 Hold, 6 Sell, and 5 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $176.73 sits 11.9% below the last close of $200.51. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.82 on revenue of $17.20B. For the next fiscal year, 13 analysts project EPS of $7.56 and revenue of $16.57B, representing contractions of 3.3% and 3.7%, respectively. SCCO beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's PEG ratio stands elevated at 5.41, creating sensitivity to any slowdown in earnings expansion.
- Short interest accounts for 10.9% of the float, reflecting significant bearish market bets against the stock.
- Revenue previously contracted 8.1% in FY2022 and 1.5% in FY2023, highlighting cyclical exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Total debt of $8.53B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $7.33B, resulting in net debt of $1.20B as of June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SCCO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SCCO income statement, SCCO balance sheet, SCCO key metrics, SCCO analyst forecast, SCCO chart. See the SCCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SCCO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Southern Copper Corporation's dividend yield and payment frequency?
Southern Copper pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $4.40, yielding 2.19% as of October 16, 2026. It has maintained 31 consecutive years of payments with a 57.9% payout ratio.
When does Southern Copper report its next quarterly earnings?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 27, 2026. SCCO has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
How do analysts view SCCO stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $176.73, which sits 11.9% below its last close of $200.51. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 6 Hold, 6 Sell, and 5 Strong Sell ratings.
What is Southern Copper's balance sheet position?
As of June 30, 2026, Southern Copper held $7.33B in cash and short-term investments against $8.53B in total debt, yielding net debt of $1.20B and a strong current ratio of 5.06.