Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) AI Stock Analysis
HBM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHudbay Minerals Inc. is a copper-focused diversified mining company operating in North and South America. In FY2025, the company grew revenue 9.4% to $2.21B and generated net income of $568.5M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.47B with an operating margin of 32.6%.
- Market cap
- $10.49B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.47B
- P/E
- 13.8x fwd 15.3x
- 1Y return
- 37.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $35.28 49.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Net income increased significantly to $568.5M in FY2025, supporting a trailing twelve months profit margin of 27.5%.
- The balance sheet holds positive net cash of $27.8M along with a solid current ratio of 2.24 as of June 30, 2026.
- Consensus forecasts anticipate strong earnings expansion, projecting FY2026 EPS growth of 123.8% to reach $1.50.
Bear case
- Hudbay has beaten earnings expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
- Shareholder equity has faced dilution as share count expanded 53.7% over the last 5 years.
- The stock carries elevated market volatility, evidenced by a beta of 2.33 and trading 4.6% below its 200-day average.
What Hudbay Minerals does
Hudbay Minerals Inc., based in Toronto, Canada, explores, extracts, and markets base and precious metals across North and South America. The company specializes in the production of copper concentrates enriched with gold and silver, silver/gold dore, and molybdenum concentrates, as well as zinc metals. Operations include three polymetallic mines in northern Manitoba and Saskatchewan, Canada, and in Cusco, Peru, supported by four ore concentrators and a zinc facility. In addition, Hudbay oversees copper projects in Arizona and Nevada.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $1.50B in FY2021 to $2.21B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.1%. Net income improved from -$244.4M in FY2021 to $568.5M in FY2025, with gross margin expanding from 8.7% to 33.6%. After revenue fell 2.7% in FY2022 to $1.46B, the business rebounded with 15.6% growth in FY2023 to $1.69B and 19.6% growth in FY2024 to $2.02B. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 17.7% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 14.1% year-over-year. TTM revenue stands at $2.47B with a 27.5% profit margin and EPS of $1.71.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Hudbay Minerals held $939.9M in cash and short-term investments and $912.1M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $27.8M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 2.24 and total assets of $8.05B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 against $4.79B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $672.8M and free cash flow was $197.9M. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $474.9M in capital expenditures and $5.7M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Hudbay Minerals trades at a trailing P/E of 13.8x, which is below the 19.7x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. However, its forward P/E of 15.3x and price-to-sales multiple of 4.3x trade higher than the peer medians of 13.4x and 1.8x, respectively. The company's EV-to-EBITDA multiple is 7.4x compared to the peer median of 10.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 37.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock gained 219.0% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
HBM dividend
Hudbay Minerals offers an annual forward dividend of $0.03 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.12% and a payout ratio of 2.3%. Dividends are distributed quarterly, with the most recent ex-dividend date on September 8, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, while its 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 1.0%.
What analysts expect
Analyst coverage consists of 14 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $35.28, representing a 49.4% upside to the last close of $23.62. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.94B and EPS of $1.50, implying 123.8% EPS growth. Hudbay has topped EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High capital expenditures of $474.9M in FY2025 lowered free cash flow generation to $197.9M.
- Hudbay maintains $912.1M in total debt, necessitating continued operational cash flow to sustain debt service.
- A high beta of 2.33 exposes equity holders to wider price swings than the broader market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HBM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HBM income statement, HBM balance sheet, HBM key metrics, HBM analyst forecast, HBM chart. See the HBM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HBM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Hudbay Minerals pay a dividend?
Yes, Hudbay pays an annual forward dividend of $0.03 per share, yielding 0.12% with a payout ratio of 2.3%. The dividend is distributed on a quarterly basis and has been paid for 17 consecutive years.
What is Hudbay Minerals' debt and cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Hudbay held $939.9M in cash and short-term investments against $912.1M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $27.8M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19.
What is Hudbay Minerals' revenue growth rate?
From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 15.1%, reaching $2.21B in FY2025. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 17.7% year-over-year.
What are Wall Street analysts' price targets for Hudbay Minerals?
The mean analyst price target is $35.28, which represents a 49.4% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $23.62. The rating breakdown includes 14 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, and 1 Hold recommendations.