Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: RXRXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RXRX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on technology-enabled drug discovery. While annual revenue expanded to $74.7M in FY2025, operating losses widened alongside a net loss of -$644.8M. The company maintains a net cash position of $483.8M as of June 30, 2026, amid ongoing negative free cash flow.

Market cap
$1.86B
Revenue (TTM)
$54.9M
P/E
—
1Y return
-45.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.32
111.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Recursion holds $545.7M in cash and short-term investments with just $61.9M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Long-term top-line expansion delivered an 85.4% 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 through FY2025.
  • Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $7.32, representing an upside of 111.2% over the last close of $3.46.

Bear case

  • Net losses widened to -$644.8M in FY2025 alongside an annual free cash flow deficit of -$378.3M.
  • Quarterly revenue dropped 60.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The 5-year share count increased by 214.4%, demonstrating significant equity dilution.

What Recursion Pharmaceuticals does

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company that combines biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to discover and develop therapeutic treatments. Headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, its clinical pipeline includes REC-994 in Phase IIa trials for cerebral cavernous malformation, REC-2282 for neurofibromatosis type 2, REC-4881 for familial adenomatous polyposis, and REC-3599 in Phase I trials for GM2 gangliosidosis. It also pursues various preclinical candidates addressing oncology, inflammation, and colitis. Recursion maintains strategic research collaborations with partners including Bayer AG, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, Chromaderm, Inc., the University of Utah Research Foundation, and Ohio State Innovation Foundation.

Growth and profitability

Revenue rose from $10.0M in FY2021 to $74.7M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 85.4%. However, profitability remained deeply negative. Operating margin was -867.9% in FY2025, and net income was -$644.8M, compared with -$178.1M in FY2021. Research and development expenses escalated steadily over this period, reaching $425.3M in FY2025 from $135.3M in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $54.9M with an operating margin of -1759.7% and EPS of -$1.09. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 60.1% year-over-year.

RXRX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Recursion held $545.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $61.9M, yielding a net cash position of $483.8M. Total assets were $1.21B, and shareholders' equity was $915.0M. The company has a current ratio of 5.03 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. Free cash flow was -$378.3M in FY2025, reflecting operational cash burn and $6.5M in capital expenditures. Share count increased by 214.4% over the past 5 years.

RXRX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $3.46 per share, Recursion holds a market capitalization of $1.86B and an enterprise value of $1.52B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 33.9x and an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 28.3x, both well above the 4.1x price-to-sales ratio for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 2.2x. Over the past year, RXRX shares fell 45.5%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 81.8%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

RXRX key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, and 4 Holds, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $7.32, which is 111.2% above the last close of $3.46. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $41.8M and EPS of -$0.93. For FY2027, 7 analysts project revenue of $53.0M and EPS of -$0.87. Recursion has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.

RXRX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 30.9% of the float, pointing to elevated skepticism in the market.
  • Substantial ongoing cash burn could deplete the current cash and short-term investments balance of $545.7M if losses persist.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with price-to-sales at 33.9x compared to the US-listed Healthcare median of 4.1x.
  • The stock has declined 45.5% over the past year and trades 2.7% below its 200-day moving average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RXRX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RXRX income statement, RXRX balance sheet, RXRX key metrics, RXRX analyst forecast, RXRX chart. See the RXRX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RXRX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Recursion Pharmaceuticals' primary business?

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that uses biology, automation, chemistry, and data science to discover and develop treatments. Its pipeline includes clinical candidates such as REC-994, REC-2282, REC-4881, and REC-3599 across multiple therapeutic areas.

How much cash and debt does Recursion have?

As of June 30, 2026, Recursion had $545.7M in cash and short-term investments and $61.9M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $483.8M.

Does RXRX pay a dividend?

Recursion Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend, as it directs capital toward research, development, and clinical pipeline advancement.

What are analysts expecting for full-year financial results?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $41.8M and an EPS of -$0.93.

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