Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) AI Stock Analysis
PNW AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPinnacle West Capital Corporation provides regulated electric services across Arizona through Arizona Public Service Company. In FY2025, the company delivered $5.34B in revenue with an operating margin of 20.0%, while carrying $11.37B in total debt as of June 30, 2026. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.52% supported by an annualized payout of $3.64 per share.
- Market cap
- $12.53B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.55B
- P/E
- 19.9x fwd 16.9x
- 1Y return
- 15.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $102.93 -0.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 8.3%, rising from $3.80B in FY2021 to $5.34B in FY2025.
- The company has maintained regular distributions for 34 consecutive years, offering a dividend yield of 3.52%.
- Long-term total return reached 89.2% over 5 years, beating the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
Bear case
- Elevated capital expenditures of $2.62B in FY2025 pushed free cash flow to -$819.5M.
- Balance sheet liquidity is constrained, with total debt at $11.37B compared to cash and short-term investments of $9.1M.
- Short interest represents 13.0% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
What Pinnacle West does
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation operates primarily through Arizona Public Service Company, providing electric utility services to approximately 1.3 million customers in Arizona. Headquartered in Phoenix, the company owns or leases around 6,323 megawatts of regulated generation capacity utilizing coal, nuclear, natural gas, oil, and solar resources. Its infrastructure includes approximately 5,814 miles of overhead and 74 miles of underground transmission lines, alongside 11,258 miles of overhead and 22,821 miles of underground distribution lines, supported by 475 transmission and distribution substations.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $3.80B in FY2021 to $5.34B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 8.3%. Annual revenue growth moderated from 13.7% in FY2022 and 9.1% in FY2024 to 4.2% in FY2025. Operating margin reached 20.0% in FY2025, up from 16.9% in FY2022, while net margin stood at 11.5%. Net income was $616.5M with EPS of $5.06 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $5.55B with EPS of $5.21. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 7.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 9.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Pinnacle West held $9.1M in cash and short-term investments against $11.37B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $11.36B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62. Current ratio was 0.59, and shareholders' equity totaled $7.03B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.81B, while capital expenditures of $2.62B led to free cash flow of -$819.5M. The company also distributed $422.8M in dividends and raised $84.6M through share issuance.
Valuation and performance
Trading at $103.42, Pinnacle West carries a trailing P/E of 19.9x, below the median of 21.0x for its S&P 500 Utilities peers. Its forward P/E of 16.9x trades slightly above the peer median of 16.0x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 2.3x is lower than the peer median of 2.9x. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.5%, slightly behind the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, its return of 89.2% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
PNW dividend
Pinnacle West yields 3.52% on a forward annual dividend of $3.64 paid quarterly. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 34 years, delivering an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 2.5%. Its payout ratio stands at 69.7%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was August 3, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $102.93, representing a target vs last close of -0.5%. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $5.62B and EPS of $4.78. Pinnacle West beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly earnings fell 9.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Net debt of $11.36B and a current ratio of 0.59 create exposure to utility refinancing and debt service obligations.
- Consensus forecasts project current fiscal year EPS to fall 5.4% to $4.78.
- Share count increased by 9.9% over 5 years, reflecting ongoing dilution to fund operations and capital projects.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PNW AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PNW income statement, PNW balance sheet, PNW key metrics, PNW analyst forecast, PNW chart. See the PNW stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PNW AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Pinnacle West's dividend yield and payment frequency?
Pinnacle West pays a quarterly dividend of $3.64 annually, representing a dividend yield of 3.52%. It has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 69.7%.
What is the Wall Street analyst consensus target for PNW?
The mean analyst price target is $102.93, which is -0.5% relative to the closing price of $103.42. The stock has 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings.
How much debt does Pinnacle West carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company carried $11.37B in total debt and $9.1M in cash, leading to net debt of $11.36B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62.
What was Pinnacle West's revenue growth in FY2025?
Pinnacle West generated $5.34B in revenue in FY2025, which represented annual growth of 4.2%.
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