Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) AI Stock Analysis
PEN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPenumbra, Inc. is a global medical technology company specializing in innovative devices for neurovascular and vascular disorders. In FY2025, revenue grew 17.5% to $1.40B while net income reached $177.7M, marking significant operational expansion. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $446.1M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, though it trades at an elevated forward P/E of 55.6x.
- Market cap
- $12.64B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.50B
- P/E
- 78.8x fwd 55.6x
- 1Y return
- 26.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $362.54 13.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Penumbra achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 20.2% through FY2025, reaching $1.40B with gross margin expanding to 67.1%.
- The company generated $174.9M in free cash flow in FY2025 and holds a healthy net cash position of $446.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Consensus analyst estimates project 25.4% EPS growth in FY2026 to $4.81, supporting a mean price target of $362.54.
Bear case
- The stock trades at a rich valuation with a forward P/E of 55.6x and price-to-sales of 8.4x, well above US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 17.3x and 4.1x.
- Quarterly earnings fell 23.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, showing near-term profitability deceleration.
- Penumbra's 5-year return of 19.8% has significantly lagged the broader market S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Penumbra does
Penumbra, Inc. is a global leader in the design, development, manufacturing, and distribution of innovative medical devices for neurovascular and vascular disorders. The company's core portfolio features aspiration-based mechanical thrombectomy systems, including brands like Penumbra RED, JET, ACE, 3D Revascularization Device, and Penumbra ENGINE. For neurovascular applications, it provides embolization coiling systems such as Penumbra Coil 400, POD400, PAC400, and Penumbra SMART Coil, alongside access systems including Neuron, Neuron MAX, Select, and BENCHMARK. It also manufactures Artemis Neuro Evacuation Device tools for neurosurgery, Indigo System thrombectomy platforms for vascular treatments, and Ruby Coil systems for peripheral embolization.
Growth and profitability
Penumbra increased revenue from $747.6M in FY2021 to $1.40B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 20.2% through FY2025. Annual revenue growth improved to 17.5% in FY2025 from 12.9% in FY2024. Over this period, gross margin rose from 63.6% in FY2021 to 67.1% in FY2025, while operating margin expanded from -1.0% to 13.5%. Net income rebounded from -$2.0M in FY2022 to $177.7M in FY2025, yielding an EPS of $3.84. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $1.50B with an operating margin of 10.5%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 14.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 23.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Penumbra held $658.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $212.7M, resulting in net cash of $446.1M. Liquidity remains sound with a current ratio of 5.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 relative to $1.53B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, the business generated $238.7M in operating cash flow and $174.9M in free cash flow. Cash allocation in FY2025 included $63.7M dedicated to capital expenditures, while share issuance contributed $31.8M, with share count increasing 5.7% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At $320.86 per share, Penumbra carries a market capitalization of $12.64B and an enterprise value of $12.14B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 78.8x and a forward P/E of 55.6x, compared to medians of 24.6x and 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 8.4x versus the peer median of 4.1x, and its EV/EBITDA is 54.6x versus 12.0x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 26.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 19.8% lagged the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings on Penumbra include 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 14 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings. The average price target of $362.54 indicates an upside of 13.0% from the recent close of $320.86. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $4.81 on revenue of $1.59B, reflecting 25.4% projected EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 13 analysts project EPS of $6.13 on revenue of $1.80B. The company beat earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters and is set to report results on November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Penumbra has exceeded EPS expectations in only 2 of the past 4 quarters, reflecting earnings inconsistency.
- Quarterly earnings fell 23.5% in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, which may challenge full-year EPS growth targets of 25.4%.
- Short interest of 6.6% of the float indicates that some investors anticipate downside pressure given the high trailing P/E of 78.8x.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PEN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Penumbra, Inc. (PEN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PEN income statement, PEN balance sheet, PEN key metrics, PEN analyst forecast, PEN chart. See the PEN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PEN AI stock analysis FAQ
What medical devices does Penumbra manufacture?
Penumbra designs and manufactures aspiration thrombectomy systems, such as the Penumbra System and Indigo System, along with neurovascular embolization coils and intracranial access tools.
Does Penumbra pay a cash dividend?
Penumbra does not pay a cash dividend, instead deploying capital into business investments and capex, which stood at $63.7M in FY2025.
How does Penumbra's valuation compare to other healthcare companies?
Penumbra trades at a forward P/E of 55.6x and EV/EBITDA of 54.6x, both substantially higher than the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 17.3x and 12.0x.
When does Penumbra release its next quarterly earnings?
The company's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.